Bulgaria opinion polls
Parliamentary election By 30 Jun 2030, in 4 years.
Progressive Bulgaria leads the polling average with 39.5%, 25.8 points ahead of GERB–SDS.
Average
Updated 34 minutes ago
PBProgressive Bulgaria
39.5
−6.2
PPWe Continue the Change
10.6
±0.0
DBDemocratic Bulgaria
7.2
+0.5
DPSMovement for Rights and Freedoms
6.5
+0.2
BSPBulgarian Socialist Party
3.3
−0.1
MEChMorality, Unity, Honour
3.3
+1.1
Trend
PBGERB–SDSPPDBDPSVaz.
Stances
PBGERB–SDSPPDBDPSVaz.
Immigration
ExpandRestrictRemigration
Economy
Free marketState-directed
Abortion
Broad accessProtect unborn life
Marriage & family
Individual choiceTraditional
National culture
CosmopolitanPreserve heritage
Technology
Light-touchRein in Big Tech
Scores and reasons written by AI. Methodology
Why these scores
Immigration
- Progressive Bulgaria: 5.5 of 10 Radev demands sealed EU external borders and faster deportation of rejected asylum seekers; keeps border fence
- GERB–SDS: 5 of 10 Built and keeps the Turkish-border fence; tightened border controls to win Schengen entry
- We Continue the Change: 4 of 10 Petkov government kept border fence and asylum controls; backs common EU asylum rules
- Democratic Bulgaria: 4 of 10 Backed tighter Turkish-border controls for Schengen entry in Denkov government; supports common EU asylum rules
- Movement for Rights and Freedoms: 4.5 of 10 No distinct migration programme found; backed governments' border-fence and Schengen border policy
- Revival: 7 of 10 Opposes EU Migration Pact and third-country labour imports; wants rejected asylum seekers deported
Economy
- Progressive Bulgaria: 5 of 10 Keeps 10% flat tax; 2026 budget runs 5.7% deficit; 'fair value' food price controls, higher pensions
- GERB–SDS: 4 of 10 Keeps 10% flat income and corporate tax; its late-2025 budget draft raised social contributions, then withdrawn
- We Continue the Change: 4 of 10 Keeps flat tax; Vassilev's 2022 budget raised pensions; attacked 2026 budget's unexplained spending buffers
- Democratic Bulgaria: 3 of 10 Programme: cut public spending to one-third of GDP, VAT to 18%; demanded 2026 budget cut to 3% deficit
- Movement for Rights and Freedoms: 3.5 of 10 Co-introduced the 10% flat income tax in 2008 and defends it; backed GERB-led budgets
- Revival: 5.5 of 10 Progressive income tax to 20%, no VAT on food and medicines, but 40% fewer civil servants
Christian identity
- Progressive Bulgaria: 5.5 of 10 Vetoed EU sanctions on Patriarch Kirill in 2026, citing Russian Church's role in Bulgaria's liberation
- GERB–SDS: 4.5 of 10 Upholds Orthodoxy's constitutional 'traditional religion' status; no church-state legislation of its own found
- We Continue the Change: 2.5 of 10 No church-state agenda; accepts Orthodoxy's constitutional status
- Democratic Bulgaria: 3 of 10 Includes Christian-democratic DSB but no church-state agenda; accepts Orthodoxy's constitutional status
- Movement for Rights and Freedoms: 2.5 of 10 Defends Muslim minority's religious rights within a secular, multi-faith state
- Revival: 6 of 10 Kostadinov frames preserving Christian religion and tradition as national survival; no church-state bill found
Abortion
- Progressive Bulgaria: 3 of 10 No proposal to change abortion on request up to 12 weeks
- GERB–SDS: 2.5 of 10 No proposal to change abortion on request up to 12 weeks
- We Continue the Change: 2 of 10 No proposal to change abortion on request up to 12 weeks
- Democratic Bulgaria: 2 of 10 No proposal to change abortion on request up to 12 weeks
- Movement for Rights and Freedoms: 2.5 of 10 No proposal to change abortion on request up to 12 weeks
- Revival: 3.5 of 10 No proposal to restrict abortion on request to 12 weeks; pushes birth incentives instead
Marriage & family
- Progressive Bulgaria: 6.5 of 10 Radev opposed Istanbul Convention in 2018 and signed 2024 school ban on LGBT 'propaganda'
- GERB–SDS: 5.5 of 10 Voted for 2024 school ban on LGBT 'propaganda'; its government dropped Istanbul Convention ratification in 2018
- We Continue the Change: 3 of 10 PP-DB voted against the 2024 school ban on LGBT 'propaganda'
- Democratic Bulgaria: 3 of 10 Voted against the 2024 school ban on LGBT 'propaganda'; conservative DSB wing limits further liberalisation
- Movement for Rights and Freedoms: 5 of 10 DPS MPs voted for the 2024 school ban on LGBT 'propaganda'
- Revival: 7.5 of 10 Authored 2024 school ban on LGBT 'propaganda'; proposes family income taxation and bigger child allowances
National culture
- Progressive Bulgaria: 6.5 of 10 Radev insists North Macedonia's EU path wait on Bulgarians written into its constitution; VMRO backs coalition
- GERB–SDS: 5 of 10 Voted for 2022 French proposal on North Macedonia, keeping Bulgarian-minority constitutional conditions
- We Continue the Change: 3.5 of 10 Petkov government lifted the North Macedonia EU veto via the 2022 French proposal
- Democratic Bulgaria: 3.5 of 10 Backed 2022 French proposal on North Macedonia; civic, pro-Western national identity
- Movement for Rights and Freedoms: 2.5 of 10 Champions Turkish-minority rights and optional mother-tongue Turkish teaching in schools
- Revival: 8.5 of 10 Programme goal of 'complete unification' with North Macedonia; treats the lev as part of statehood
Subsidiarity
- Progressive Bulgaria: 6 of 10 Radev sought a euro referendum; pushes back on EU climate rules and Russia sanctions but stays in EU
- GERB–SDS: 3 of 10 Pro-EU EPP member that delivered eurozone and full Schengen entry in 2025-26
- We Continue the Change: 2.5 of 10 Renew Europe member; pushed eurozone and Schengen entry and closer EU integration
- Democratic Bulgaria: 2.5 of 10 Backs eurozone and banking-union membership and closer EU and NATO integration
- Movement for Rights and Freedoms: 3.5 of 10 Pro-EU and pro-euro; joined the ECR group in the European Parliament in 2026
- Revival: 8.5 of 10 Fought euro adoption; wants EU membership terms renegotiated or exit; called NATO-exit referendum
Technology
- Progressive Bulgaria: 6.5 of 10 Government preparing an age limit for children's social media, with EU digital-wallet age verification
- GERB–SDS: 7 of 10 Tabled 2026 bill banning under-16s from social media, with digital-wallet age checks for all accounts
- We Continue the Change: 4 of 10 Its MEPs abstained on the 2025 European Parliament call for a 16+ social-media age limit
- Democratic Bulgaria: 4 of 10 DSB MEP Kanev abstained on the 2025 European Parliament call for a 16+ social-media age limit
- Movement for Rights and Freedoms: 6 of 10 All three DPS MEPs voted for the 2025 European Parliament call for a 16+ social-media age limit
- Revival: 3.5 of 10 Its MEPs voted against the 2025 European Parliament call for a 16+ social-media age limit
Recent polls
| Date | Pollster | PB | GERB–SDS | PP | DB |
|---|
| 22 Oct | Gallup International | 35.6 | 14.7 | 12.3 | 6.7 |
| 19 Oct | Market Links | 37.3 | 11.2 | 11.9 | 8.8 |
| 2 Oct | Trend | 40.8 | 14.2 | 7.6 | 6.5 |
| 29 Sept | Market Links | 42.2 | 12.6 | 11 | 8.8 |
| 4 Aug | Gallup | 44.4 | 12.6 | 8 | 6.6 |
| 23 Jul | Alpha Research | 46.8 | 14.8 | 7.4 | 6.9 |
| 19 Jul | Market Links | 45.5 | 14.8 | 16.7 | |
| 21 Jun | Market Links | 46.3 | 15.5 | 14 | |
| 27 May | Market Links | 45.7 | 15.6 | 13.7 | |
| 19 Apr | 2026 election | 43.9 | 13.2 | 12.4 | |
| 16 Apr | Trend | 33.2 | 19.1 | | |
| 16 Apr | Gallup | 31.6 | 21 | | |
| 15 Apr | Alpha Research | 34.2 | 19.5 | | |
| 14 Apr | MarketLinks | 38 | 19.8 | | |