Canada federal election polls 2029
Federal election 15 Oct 2029, in 3 years.
Liberal Party of Canada leads the polling average with 46.9%, 16.4 points ahead of Conservative Party of Canada.
Average
Updated 34 minutes ago
LPCLiberal Party of Canada
46.9
+1.0
CPCConservative Party of Canada
30.5
−1.7
NDPNew Democratic Party
11.6
+0.8
BQBloc Québécois
6.1
−0.1
GPCGreen Party of Canada
2.7
+0.1
PPCPeople's Party of Canada
1.6
+0.1
Trend
LPCCPCNDPBQGPCPPC
Stances
LPCCPCNDPBQGPCPPC
Immigration
ExpandRestrictRemigration
Economy
Free marketState-directed
Abortion
Broad accessProtect unborn life
Marriage & family
Individual choiceTraditional
National culture
CosmopolitanPreserve heritage
Technology
Light-touchRein in Big Tech
Scores and reasons written by AI. Methodology
Why these scores
Immigration
- Liberal Party of Canada: 4 of 10 Bill C-12 bars late asylum claims; plan cuts temporary arrivals to 385,000 while holding 380,000 permanent residents
- Conservative Party of Canada: 5.5 of 10 Pledged to cut permanent residents to 250,000, cap foreign workers and end birthright citizenship for non-residents' children
- New Democratic Party: 2 of 10 Opposed Bill C-12 asylum restrictions as anti-refugee; supports regularizing status for undocumented workers
- Bloc Québécois: 4.5 of 10 Wants all immigration powers transferred to Quebec, targets set by capacity, asylum seekers shared across provinces
- Green Party of Canada: 2 of 10 Wants planned immigration levels, case-by-case regularization of undocumented residents, expanded refugee resettlement
- People's Party of Canada: 8 of 10 Moratorium on new permanent residents; deport overstaying temporary residents and rejected claimants; end birthright citizenship
Economy
- Liberal Party of Canada: 5 of 10 Cut lowest income tax rate and scrapped consumer carbon tax; runs large deficits, keeps dental care and pharmacare
- Conservative Party of Canada: 3 of 10 Pledged to cut lowest income tax rate to 12.75%, axe carbon tax, cut bureaucracy and foreign aid
- New Democratic Party: 8 of 10 Lewis platform: 1-3% wealth tax on the richest, public grocery, telecom and drug options, postal banking
- Bloc Québécois: 6 of 10 Wants higher Old Age Security for seniors 65-74; passed Bill C-202 shielding supply management in trade talks
- Green Party of Canada: 7.5 of 10 2025 platform: wealth tax above $10 million, Guaranteed Livable Income, nationalizing CN freight rail
- People's Party of Canada: 1 of 10 Cut income, corporate and capital gains taxes, phase out supply management, end corporate welfare and media subsidies
Christian identity
- Liberal Party of Canada: 1.5 of 10 Passed Bill C-9 with the Bloc, repealing the hate-speech defence for opinions based on religious texts
- Conservative Party of Canada: 4.5 of 10 Voted unanimously against C-9's repeal of the religious-text defence; would restore an Office of Religious Freedom
- New Democratic Party: 2 of 10 No religious agenda; voted against Bill C-9 citing vague hate wording and police discretion
- Bloc Québécois: 0.5 of 10 Backs Quebec's Bill 21 religious-symbol ban; voted for C-9 repealing the religious-text hate-speech defence
- Green Party of Canada: 2 of 10 No religion plank; its MP voted against Bill C-9, which repealed the religious-text hate-speech defence
- People's Party of Canada: 3.5 of 10 Platform names separation of state and religion a Canadian value; defends freedom of conscience, would repeal M-103
Abortion
- Liberal Party of Canada: 0.5 of 10 Defends Canada's absence of any legal abortion limit and pledges to protect access nationwide
- Conservative Party of Canada: 3 of 10 Poilievre pledges no laws restricting abortion, but MPs get free votes on private members' bills
- New Democratic Party: 0.5 of 10 Pro-choice; Lewis pledges equal abortion access in every province, opposes any legal limit
- Bloc Québécois: 0.5 of 10 Pro-choice; opposes any federal abortion restriction under Canada's current no-limit regime
- Green Party of Canada: 0.5 of 10 Promises barrier-free abortion access and opposes any legislation restricting it
- People's Party of Canada: 5 of 10 Protection of Preborn Children Act: restrict abortion after the first trimester, ban late-term; MPs vote freely
Marriage & family
- Liberal Party of Canada: 1.5 of 10 Upholds same-sex marriage, gender-identity protections in law and the federal ban on conversion therapy
- Conservative Party of Canada: 5 of 10 Party policy accepts same-sex marriage; Poilievre opposes puberty blockers for minors and backs single-sex spaces
- New Democratic Party: 1 of 10 Champions trans rights and opposes provincial limits on youth gender care; backs national childcare
- Bloc Québécois: 2 of 10 Supports same-sex marriage and LGBTQ+ rights; defends Quebec's own childcare and parental-insurance model
- Green Party of Canada: 1 of 10 Platform expands 2SLGBTQIA+ protections, trans data collection and non-discrimination standards; Guaranteed Livable Income
- People's Party of Canada: 6.5 of 10 Would criminalize puberty blockers and transition for minors, repeal Bill C-16 and loosen the C-4 conversion-therapy ban
National culture
- Liberal Party of Canada: 3 of 10 Defends official multiculturalism and bilingualism; added $150 million for CBC/Radio-Canada; keeps Online Streaming Act content rules
- Conservative Party of Canada: 5.5 of 10 Pledged to defund English-language CBC while keeping Radio-Canada; defends monarchy and Official Languages Act
- New Democratic Party: 2.5 of 10 Supports official multiculturalism and CBC funding; recognizes Quebec as a nation under its Sherbrooke Declaration
- Bloc Québécois: 7 of 10 Defends French as Quebec's common language, backs Bill 96, seeks Quebec exemption from the Multiculturalism Act
- Green Party of Canada: 2.5 of 10 Raise CBC/Radio-Canada funding to peer per-capita levels, fund multicultural community-building, recognize Quebec as a nation
- People's Party of Canada: 7 of 10 Would repeal the Multiculturalism Act, end multiculturalism funding and abolish public media funding including CBC
Subsidiarity
- Liberal Party of Canada: 4 of 10 Keeps federal dental care and pharmacare in provincial health turf, but signed Alberta MOU dropping federal emissions cap
- Conservative Party of Canada: 6 of 10 Pledged to repeal the federal 'no pipelines' Impact Assessment Act and restore federal-provincial constitutional balance
- New Democratic Party: 3 of 10 Wants national pharmacare, dental care, national rent caps and federal public options, with Quebec opt-outs
- Bloc Québécois: 9 of 10 Seeks Quebec independence and repeal of the Clarity Act; opposes federal programmes in provincial jurisdiction
- Green Party of Canada: 4 of 10 Would tie federal housing money to provincial rent controls and add national programmes, yet backs Quebec veto and opt-outs
- People's Party of Canada: 8.5 of 10 Replace health transfers with tax points, slash equalization, leave climate to provinces; Bernier backed a Western independence vote
Technology
- Liberal Party of Canada: 6.5 of 10 Bill C-34 would bar under-16s from social media, create a Digital Safety Commission and impose chatbot duties
- Conservative Party of Canada: 6 of 10 Opposed a Liberal online-harms regulator; backed porn age-verification Bill S-210; Rempel Garner's C-216 adds platform duties
- New Democratic Party: 6 of 10 Lewis proposes a moratorium on AI data-centre construction; caucus backed S-210 porn age checks; wary of C-34 data collection
- Bloc Québécois: 6.5 of 10 Voted for S-210 porn age verification; champions regulating and taxing web giants under C-11 and C-18
- Green Party of Canada: 7.5 of 10 Would ban social media for minors like Australia and end platforms' liability protection for harmful content
- People's Party of Canada: 2 of 10 Would repeal Bill C-11 and all laws curbing online speech; no child online-safety proposals