Germany opinion polls
Federal election By 25 Mar 2029, in 2 years.
Alternative for Germany leads the polling average with 28.2%, 8.3 points ahead of CDU/CSU.
Average
Updated 1 minute ago
AfDAlternative for Germany
28.2
+0.2
GrüneAlliance 90/The Greens
15.0
+0.1
SPDSocial Democratic Party of Germany
13.5
+0.4
FDPFree Democratic Party
4.1
−0.2
BSWSahra Wagenknecht Alliance
3.3
−0.2
Trend
AfDUnionGrüneSPDLinkeFDP
Stances
AfDUnionGrüneSPDLinkeFDP
Immigration
ExpandRestrictRemigration
Economy
Free marketState-directed
Abortion
Broad accessProtect unborn life
Marriage & family
Individual choiceTraditional
National culture
CosmopolitanPreserve heritage
Technology
Light-touchRein in Big Tech
Scores and reasons written by AI. Methodology
Why these scores
Immigration
- Alternative for Germany: 8.5 of 10 2025 programme's 'remigration' catalogue: revoke protection once flight reasons end, deport, abolish church asylum
- CDU/CSU: 5 of 10 In government ordered asylum rejections at borders, suspended family reunification, scrapped three-year naturalisation
- Alliance 90/The Greens: 2 of 10 2025 programme: lift family-reunification limits, no pre-entry language tests; oppose border rejections
- Social Democratic Party of Germany: 4 of 10 In coalition voted to suspend family reunification for subsidiary protection; defends dual citizenship and five-year naturalisation
- The Left: 1 of 10 2025 programme: unrestricted asylum right, legal escape routes, end to 'Fortress Europe' and deportation detention
- Free Democratic Party: 4.5 of 10 2025 programme: pilot border rejections, curb irregular migration; open Blue Card to non-academic skilled workers
Economy
- Alternative for Germany: 3 of 10 2025 programme: abolish wealth and inheritance tax, raise tax-free allowance, strict debt brake, tougher Bürgergeld
- CDU/CSU: 3.5 of 10 In government legislated corporate tax cuts and investment write-offs; replacing Bürgergeld; debt-funded infrastructure fund
- Alliance 90/The Greens: 5.5 of 10 2025 programme: debt brake reform, Deutschlandfonds, national wealth tax on very high fortunes, social climate dividend
- Social Democratic Party of Germany: 6 of 10 2025 programme: €15 minimum wage, higher taxes on top incomes and wealth, debt brake reform
- The Left: 7.5 of 10 Wealth tax up to 12% on billionaires, nationwide rent cap, expropriating large landlords
- Free Democratic Party: 2 of 10 2025 programme: income tax cuts, abolish solidarity surcharge, strict debt brake, deregulation, long-run flat tax
Christian identity
- Alternative for Germany: 5 of 10 Programme defends 'Christian-Occidental' culture; would ban minarets, muezzin calls, headscarves in schools and public institutions
- CDU/CSU: 4 of 10 Defends church tax, religious instruction and Christian holidays; Bavaria requires crosses in state offices
- Alliance 90/The Greens: 2 of 10 2025 programme: lift church exemptions from works-council and anti-discrimination law; adapt religion law to pluralism
- Social Democratic Party of Germany: 2 of 10 Keeps church tax and religious instruction; backed buying out state payments to churches
- The Left: 1 of 10 Wants church tax no longer collected by the state, church state payments ended, church labour exemptions abolished
- Free Democratic Party: 2 of 10 2025 programme: buy out state payments to churches, one common legal framework for all religious communities
Abortion
- Alternative for Germany: 5 of 10 Programme keeps §218 but wants tougher counselling with ultrasound images, no abortion advertising, no pro-abortion funding
- CDU/CSU: 3.5 of 10 Rejects any change to §218, under which abortion is unlawful but unpunished after counselling
- Alliance 90/The Greens: 1 of 10 2025 programme: early abortion lawful outside criminal code, counselling voluntary, per expert commission
- Social Democratic Party of Germany: 1.5 of 10 Co-sponsored 2024 bill legalising first-trimester abortion; programme wants it out of criminal code
- The Left: 1 of 10 Wants §218 struck from the criminal code and abortion free, covered by health insurance
- Free Democratic Party: 2 of 10 2025 programme: reform §218 by free vote, cover abortion costs for all women; scrapped advertising ban 2022
Marriage & family
- Alternative for Germany: 7 of 10 Programme defines family as father, mother and children; full repeal of self-ID law; family tax splitting
- CDU/CSU: 5 of 10 Keeps spousal tax splitting; opposed the self-ID gender law, which the coalition agreed to review
- Alliance 90/The Greens: 0.5 of 10 Drafted 2024 self-ID law and defend it; programme ends spousal tax splitting for new marriages
- Social Democratic Party of Germany: 1.5 of 10 Passed 2024 self-ID gender law in coalition; wants spousal tax splitting reformed for new marriages
- The Left: 0.5 of 10 Backs self-ID law, equal rights for all family forms, end of spousal tax splitting
- Free Democratic Party: 1 of 10 FDP justice minister drafted 2024 self-ID gender law; backs same-sex adoption and marriage equality
National culture
- Alternative for Germany: 8.5 of 10 Programme: 'German Leitkultur instead of multiculturalism'; German as state language written into the Basic Law
- CDU/CSU: 5.5 of 10 2024 CDU basic programme commits immigrants to a German Leitkultur; accepted keeping dual citizenship in coalition
- Alliance 90/The Greens: 1.5 of 10 Passed 2024 law allowing dual citizenship and naturalisation after five years; frame Germany as immigration country
- Social Democratic Party of Germany: 2.5 of 10 Championed 2024 dual-citizenship law; civic, immigration-country framing of German identity
- The Left: 1 of 10 Wants voting rights for all long-term residents regardless of citizenship; anti-racism focus
- Free Democratic Party: 3 of 10 Pushed 2024 dual-citizenship law; favours points-based immigration and civic integration
Subsidiarity
- Alternative for Germany: 8 of 10 Programme would replace the EU with a looser 'Bund europäischer Nationen', leave the euro, add Swiss-style referendums
- CDU/CSU: 3.5 of 10 Pro-EU but opposes permanent EU joint debt; pushes cutting EU bureaucracy and defends Länder powers
- Alliance 90/The Greens: 1.5 of 10 2025 programme: vision of a 'Federal European Republic' with its own constitution; majority voting in foreign policy
- Social Democratic Party of Germany: 3 of 10 Pro-EU: wants majority voting in EU foreign policy and stronger common European investment
- The Left: 4 of 10 Wants EU rebuilt as social union, rejects EU fiscal rules and militarisation; neither federalist nor exit
- Free Democratic Party: 2.5 of 10 2025 programme: long-term European army, majority voting in EU foreign policy; strictly opposes EU borrowing powers
Technology
- Alternative for Germany: 1.5 of 10 Programme rejects the Digital Services Act and AI Act, would repeal NetzDG and abolish the GDPR
- CDU/CSU: 6 of 10 Feb 2026 CDU congress backed social media minimum age 14 with mandatory age checks; CSU dissented
- Alliance 90/The Greens: 6.5 of 10 2025 programme: stricter rules on addictive algorithms, kids-safety-by-default; Brantner backs minimum age; reject chat control
- Social Democratic Party of Germany: 6.5 of 10 Feb 2026 paper: social media ban under 14, youth versions to 16, provider-enforced age checks
- The Left: 5.5 of 10 Wants Big Tech monopolies broken up; Reichinnek opposes under-16 social media ban; opposes chat control
- Free Democratic Party: 3.5 of 10 2025 programme rejects chat control, upload filters and data retention; wants AI Act applied more innovation-friendly