New Zealand election polls 2026
General election 7 Nov 2026, in 7 days.
Labour Party leads the polling average with 28.5%, 0.5 points ahead of National Party.
Average
Updated 34 minutes ago
LABLabour Party
28.5
−1.2
NATNational Party
28.0
−1.3
NZFNew Zealand First
10.3
−0.2
OPPThe Opportunity Party
6.3
−0.1
TPMTe Pāti Māori
1.4
−0.8
Trend
LABNATGRNNZFACTOPP
Stances
LABNATGRNNZFACTOPP
Immigration1 unplaced
ExpandRestrictRemigration
Economy
Free marketState-directed
Christian identity1 unplaced
Abortion1 unplaced
Broad accessProtect unborn life
Marriage & family1 unplaced
Individual choiceTraditional
National culture
CosmopolitanPreserve heritage
Technology
Light-touchRein in Big Tech
Scores and reasons written by AI. Methodology
Why these scores
Immigration
- Labour Party: 3 of 10 Wider Pacific visa waivers, citizenship path for overstayers' children, but a longer permanent-residency process
- National Party: 4 of 10 Eased investor golden visa, created Parent Boost visa; pledges fast-tracked visas for citizens' partners
- Green Party: 1.5 of 10 Settled residency after five years, larger refugee quota, amnesty for Pasifika overstayers, climate-displacement visas
- New Zealand First: 6.5 of 10 Referendum to cap resident visas at 20,000, migrant values statement, deport criminal non-citizens
- ACT Party: 4.5 of 10 Five-year benefit stand-down for new residents, $6-a-day temporary visa surcharge, stricter English tests
Economy
- Labour Party: 5.5 of 10 28% capital gains tax on investment property ring-fenced for health; compulsory employer KiwiSaver; excessive-pricing ban
- National Party: 3 of 10 2024 income tax cuts, Investment Boost deduction, welfare cuts with sanctions; pledges no new taxes
- Green Party: 7.5 of 10 2.5% wealth tax, higher top income and company tax, guaranteed minimum income, state-run KiwiMart supermarket
- New Zealand First: 5 of 10 Buy back BNZ as state bank, break up power gentailers and supermarkets; small-business tax cut to 20%
- ACT Party: 1.5 of 10 Cut $22bn spending over four years, freeze minimum wage three years, raise retirement age
- The Opportunity Party: 5.5 of 10 1.75% land value tax funding a $370-a-week citizen's income; stronger Commerce Commission break-up powers
Christian identity
- Labour Party: 2 of 10 No faith-based policy; its government passed the 2022 conversion practices ban
- National Party: 3 of 10 No faith-based programme; Luxon, an evangelical Christian, keeps his faith out of policy
- Green Party: 1.5 of 10 No faith-based policy; backed the 2022 conversion practices ban
- New Zealand First: 3.5 of 10 Pledged $15m to rebuild Christchurch Cathedral; no programme on religion in law or schools
- ACT Party: 1.5 of 10 Would ban resource consent conditions requiring karakia or other religious ceremonies; equal treatment regardless of faith
Abortion
- Labour Party: 1.5 of 10 Passed 2020 law decriminalising abortion, on request to 20 weeks, and 2022 clinic safe-area law
- National Party: 2.5 of 10 Luxon pledged not to change the 2020 abortion law; abortion left to MPs' conscience votes
- Green Party: 1 of 10 Pushed full decriminalisation in 2020 and backed clinic safe areas; treats abortion purely as healthcare
- New Zealand First: 4 of 10 Demanded a referendum, then seven of nine MPs voted against 2020 decriminalisation; no 2026 pledge
- ACT Party: 2 of 10 All ten MPs voted for 2022 clinic safe areas; Seymour backed 2020 decriminalisation; no plan to change law
Marriage & family
- Labour Party: 2 of 10 Enacted gender self-ID on birth certificates and conversion-practice ban; offers free maternity scans
- National Party: 5 of 10 Banned new puberty blocker prescriptions 2025; backed biological-sex definition bill at first reading; 30-week parental leave
- Green Party: 1 of 10 Rainbow policy backs takatāpui self-determination and bodily integrity; supported gender self-ID law
- New Zealand First: 6.5 of 10 Kiwi Kids Grant: $5,000 a year per child's first three years; Marcroft bill defining women biologically
- ACT Party: 4 of 10 Backed NZ First's bill defining women and men biologically at first reading, May 2026
National culture
- Labour Party: 3 of 10 Opposed Treaty Principles Bill; would restore school boards' Treaty obligations and Māori procurement targets
- National Party: 5.5 of 10 Scrapped co-governance, English-first department names; backed Treaty Principles Bill only to first reading
- Green Party: 2 of 10 Tiriti-based policy throughout, $200m for te reo; opposed Treaty Principles Bill and English-first naming
- New Zealand First: 7 of 10 Passed English Language Act 2026; Māori seats referendum, dissolve Waitangi Tribunal; migrants expected to assimilate
- ACT Party: 5 of 10 Treaty Principles Bill, dissolve Waitangi Tribunal, end race-based public hiring; equal-citizenship civic identity
- The Opportunity Party: 3 of 10 Calls honouring Te Tiriti non-negotiable; Māori take part in every proposed citizens' assembly
Subsidiarity
- Labour Party: 3.5 of 10 In office merged health boards and polytechnics into national bodies and centralised water assets
- National Party: 4 of 10 Plans to replace elected regional councils with mayoral boards, cap council rates, set national planning rules
- Green Party: 5 of 10 Bed levies for councils and Tiriti-based shared governance with iwi, alongside new central agencies
- New Zealand First: 6 of 10 Return half of mining royalties to source regions; restored local referendums on Māori wards
- ACT Party: 6 of 10 10,000 more charter school places; restored Māori-ward referendums; bar unelected council appointees from voting
- The Opportunity Party: 5 of 10 Citizens' assemblies advising Parliament; no stated plan to devolve or centralise council powers
Technology
- Labour Party: 7 of 10 Pledges under-16 social media ban law within 100 days, a digital duty of care, an Office of AI
- National Party: 6 of 10 Introduced under-16 social media age-check bill in August 2026; light-touch AI strategy without an AI law
- Green Party: 5.5 of 10 Opposed under-16 ban as easy to circumvent; would regulate AI and pause new AI data-centre consents
- New Zealand First: 3.5 of 10 Withdrew support for under-16 ban by mid-2026, citing Australia's failure; no AI or platform rules proposed
- ACT Party: 2.5 of 10 Refused to back under-16 social media ban, calling it hasty and unworkable; opposed news bargaining bill
- The Opportunity Party: 5 of 10 Cross-party national AI framework, algorithm-bias safeguards, onshore data; no social media age policy
Recent polls
| Date | Pollster | LAB | NAT | GRN | NZF |
|---|
| 26 Oct | RNZ–Reid Research | 30.6 | 24.8 | 14.5 | 9.9 |
| 25 Oct | 1 News–Verian | 27.3 | 28.9 | 14.8 | 10 |
| 19 Oct | 1 News–Verian | 27 | 32 | 16 | 8 |
| 19 Oct | The Post/Freshwater Strategy | 28.7 | 27.6 | 14.3 | 11.8 |
| 12 Oct | 1 News–Verian | 28 | 28 | 15 | 10 |
| 10 Oct | Anacta | 29 | 28 | 15 | 10 |
| 5 Oct | Taxpayers' Union–Curia | 28.2 | 28.5 | 13.3 | 12 |
| 5 Oct | 1 News–Verian | 28 | 29 | 16 | 10 |
| 1 Oct | RNZ–Reid Research | 30.8 | 25.9 | 14.8 | 10.6 |
| 27 Sept | 1 News–Verian | 28 | 28 | 16 | 9 |
| 27 Sept | Roy Morgan | 23.5 | 31 | 16 | 10 |
| 11 Sept | The Post/Freshwater Strategy | 28 | 26.5 | 13.6 | 12.6 |
| 10 Sept | Anacta | 31 | 30 | 12 | 10 |
| 3 Sept | Taxpayers' Union–Curia | 25.9 | 29 | 13.9 | 8.4 |