Mexico election polls 2027
Parliamentary election 6 Jun 2027, in 7 months.
Morena leads the polling average with 40.4%, 26.5 points ahead of National Action Party.
Average
Updated 34 minutes ago
PANNational Action Party
13.9
−0.4
PRIInstitutional Revolutionary Party
10.5
+0.3
MCCitizens' Movement
9.8
−0.8
PVEMEcologist Green Party of Mexico
4.2
−0.2
PAZBuilding Societies of Peace
0.9
−0.1
Trend
MorenaPANPRIMCPVEMPT
Stances
MorenaPANPRIMCPVEMPT
Immigration
ExpandRestrictRemigration
Economy
Free marketState-directed
Abortion
Broad accessProtect unborn life
Marriage & family
Individual choiceTraditional
National culture
CosmopolitanPreserve heritage
Technology2 unplaced
Light-touchRein in Big Tech
Scores and reasons written by AI. Methodology
Why these scores
Immigration
- Morena: 4.5 of 10 Sent 10,000 National Guard troops to US border in 2025; accepts non-Mexican deportees; keeps refugee system
- National Action Party: 3.5 of 10 Platform pledges permanent respect for transit migrants' rights and a new migration deal with US
- Institutional Revolutionary Party: 4.5 of 10 No distinct current plan; last record in office was 2014 Southern Border Programme raising deportations
- Citizens' Movement: 3 of 10 2024 platform: orderly, safe, regular migration with dignified treatment; defend migrants' rights with US
- Ecologist Green Party of Mexico: 4.5 of 10 Governing ally; backs Sheinbaum's US-coordinated border containment; no separate migration plan
- Labor Party: 3.5 of 10 Governing ally; Latin Americanist, critical of US policy; backs government's humanitarian line
Economy
- Morena: 6.5 of 10 Made cash transfers constitutional, guaranteed state CFE 54% of grid, 40-hour week by 2030; no tax rises
- National Action Party: 3 of 10 Platform: VAT cut to 10%, income-tax exemptions, sell Dos Bocas, private power generation; keeps social programmes
- Institutional Revolutionary Party: 4 of 10 Authored 2013 energy opening; voted against 2024 reform restoring state primacy of CFE and Pemex
- Citizens' Movement: 5.5 of 10 Progressive redistributive tax reform, unemployment insurance, 40-hour week; courts nearshoring and private investment
- Ecologist Green Party of Mexico: 6 of 10 Voted with Morena for constitutional cash transfers and state-first electricity reform
- Labor Party: 8 of 10 Opposes capitalism, favours 'socialist market economy'; backed lithium nationalisation and state energy primacy
Christian identity
- Morena: 2 of 10 Upholds Juárez-style lay state; proposes no religious role in law or education
- National Action Party: 5 of 10 Christian-democratic doctrine; platform defends religious and educational freedom; accepts constitutional lay state
- Institutional Revolutionary Party: 2.5 of 10 Secular revolutionary tradition; no religious policy agenda
- Citizens' Movement: 1.5 of 10 Platform pledges to defend the lay state; religions respected only within the law
- Ecologist Green Party of Mexico: 2.5 of 10 No religious agenda; accepts constitutional lay state
- Labor Party: 1.5 of 10 Marxist-rooted secular party; no religious role in public life
Abortion
- Morena: 2 of 10 Morena-majority state congresses decriminalised abortion to 12 weeks in most states since 2019; no federal bill
- National Action Party: 7 of 10 Platform defends life from conception to natural death; PAN-run Guanajuato and Querétaro keep abortion criminalised
- Institutional Revolutionary Party: 4 of 10 No national party line; PRI legislators split in state decriminalisation votes
- Citizens' Movement: 1.5 of 10 2024 platform guarantees public health services for safe legal termination of pregnancy
- Ecologist Green Party of Mexico: 3 of 10 Mexico City branch hailed 2023 Supreme Court ruling; pushed decriminalisation in Guanajuato; no national campaign
- Labor Party: 2.5 of 10 Generally votes with Morena coalition for state decriminalisation; no prominent own campaign
Marriage & family
- Morena: 2 of 10 Backs equal marriage, nationwide since 2022; Morena state congresses passed gender-identity recognition laws
- National Action Party: 5.5 of 10 Platform bars gender-reassignment for minors, pro-family childcare policy; leader says party respects same-sex marriage
- Institutional Revolutionary Party: 3 of 10 Voted for 2024 federal conversion-therapy ban; Peña Nieto's PRI proposed nationwide same-sex marriage in 2016
- Citizens' Movement: 1.5 of 10 2024 platform: equal rights for LGBTQIA+ people, gender perspective across policy, inclusive sex education
- Ecologist Green Party of Mexico: 3.5 of 10 Mixed record on same-sex marriage; candidates opposed it in 2021, others supported it
- Labor Party: 3 of 10 Supports equal marriage as settled law; low priority in its programme
National culture
- Morena: 4 of 10 Demands Spanish apology for the Conquest; 2024 reform made Indigenous and Afro-Mexican peoples subjects of public law
- National Action Party: 5.5 of 10 Platform declares Mexicans 'proudly Hispanic and Latino', restoring special ties with Spain; funds traditional and Indigenous culture
- Institutional Revolutionary Party: 4.5 of 10 Revolutionary-nationalist heritage; no distinctive current cultural or language agenda
- Citizens' Movement: 2.5 of 10 Platform stresses pluricultural nation, consulting 68 Indigenous peoples on recognising their own legal systems
- Ecologist Green Party of Mexico: 4 of 10 No distinct cultural agenda; supports Morena's sovereignty-centred policies
- Labor Party: 4 of 10 Anti-imperialist sovereigntism and Latin American solidarity; no heritage-protection agenda
Subsidiarity
- Morena: 2 of 10 Abolished autonomous regulators, elected judiciary, folded state health systems into federal IMSS-Bienestar
- National Action Party: 6.5 of 10 Platform: double state and municipal police, shield autonomous bodies constitutionally, end hyper-presidentialism
- Institutional Revolutionary Party: 5.5 of 10 Voted against judicial reform and abolition of autonomous bodies; historically a centralising ruling party
- Citizens' Movement: 6.5 of 10 2024 platform: rewrite fiscal federalism, review state and municipal powers, strengthen municipal governments
- Ecologist Green Party of Mexico: 2.5 of 10 Voted for judicial reform, abolition of autonomous bodies and military-run National Guard
- Labor Party: 2.5 of 10 Voted for elected judiciary and abolition of autonomous bodies, despite programme rhetoric on federalism
Technology
- Morena: 5.5 of 10 2025 telecom law: CURP-linked phone registry, executive-appointed regulator, platform-blocking clause dropped; no social-media age limit
- National Action Party: 7 of 10 2026 platform bans social media under 14, parental consent ages 14 to 17; repeal of 'spy law'
- Ecologist Green Party of Mexico: 5.5 of 10 Voted for Morena's 2025 telecom law with CURP-linked phone registry; no own platform-safety agenda
- Labor Party: 5.5 of 10 Voted for Morena's 2025 telecom law with CURP-linked phone registry; no own platform-safety agenda