South Korea presidential election polls 2030
Presidential election 27 Mar 2030, in 3 years.
Han Dong-hoon leads the polling average with 17.5%, 1.6 points ahead of Kim Min-seok.
Also polled: Parliamentary election.
Average
Updated 34 minutes ago
Jang Dong-hyeok
10.5
−0.3
Trend
Han Dong-hoonKim Min-seokOh Se-hoonJang Dong-hyeokCho KukJung Chung-rae
Stances
Han Dong-hoonKim Min-seokOh Se-hoonJang Dong-hyeokCho KukJung Chung-rae
Immigration1 unplaced
ExpandRestrictRemigration
Economy
Free marketState-directed
Abortion5 unplaced
Broad accessProtect unborn life
Marriage & family
Individual choiceTraditional
National culture
CosmopolitanPreserve heritage
Technology1 unplaced
Light-touchRein in Big Tech
Scores and reasons written by AI. Methodology
Why these scores
Immigration
- Han Dong-hoon: 4.5 of 10 As justice minister planned an immigration agency and wider work visas; demanded reciprocity for foreigners' local votes
- Kim Min-seok: 4.5 of 10 PM in Lee government that cut foreign work visas and moved to bar rejected asylum reapplications
- Oh Se-hoon: 4 of 10 Launched Seoul's Filipino domestic-worker pilot and sought minimum-wage exemptions for foreign caregivers
- Jang Dong-hyeok: 5.5 of 10 Leads PPP push to deny voting rights to foreigners whose countries refuse reciprocity, aimed at Chinese residents
- Jung Chung-rae: 4 of 10 Led DPK while Lee government cut work visas, tightened refugee rules and cracked down on anti-Chinese rallies
Economy
- Han Dong-hoon: 3.5 of 10 2025 pledges: cut corporate and income tax, per-heir inheritance tax; opposes debt-funded welfare
- Kim Min-seok: 5.5 of 10 As PM ran record 728 trillion won 2026 budget, corporate tax back to 25%, cash vouchers
- Oh Se-hoon: 4 of 10 Runs means-tested 'Seoul Safety Income' pilot; resigned in 2011 opposing universal free school meals
- Jang Dong-hyeok: 3 of 10 Led PPP opposition to 2025 corporate tax rise, union-damages limits law and Commercial Act revisions
- Cho Kuk: 6.5 of 10 Pledged property-tax 'normalisation', Jeonse-fraud rules and pressure on large firms to narrow pay gaps
- Jung Chung-rae: 6 of 10 As DPK leader drove union-damages limits law, Commercial Act revisions and corporate tax rise
Christian identity
- Han Dong-hoon: 2.5 of 10 Catholic, but no religious agenda in his campaigns or record as justice minister
- Kim Min-seok: 4 of 10 Opposed LGBT anti-discrimination law citing Christian religious freedom; also ordered probes into Unification Church
- Oh Se-hoon: 3 of 10 Catholic; no religious-law agenda; Seoul gave Seoul Plaza to a Christian youth concert over Pride in 2023
- Jang Dong-hyeok: 3.5 of 10 Presbyterian; leads PPP, which opposes LGBT anti-discrimination law on religious-freedom grounds
- Cho Kuk: 2 of 10 Secular liberal law professor; no religious agenda in programme
- Jung Chung-rae: 2 of 10 No religious agenda; pro-impeachment reformist focused on judicial and prosecution reform
Abortion
- Cho Kuk: 2 of 10 As Moon's aide answered 2017 abortion petition saying the law put all blame on women; backs decriminalisation
Marriage & family
- Han Dong-hoon: 5 of 10 Pledged larger child tax deductions and care vouchers; no stated stance on same-sex marriage
- Kim Min-seok: 5.5 of 10 Opposes LGBT anti-discrimination law, saying universal homosexuality would mean humanity cannot sustain itself
- Oh Se-hoon: 5 of 10 Says he cannot agree with homosexuality but discrimination must be banned; Seoul repeatedly denied Pride the Plaza
- Jang Dong-hyeok: 6 of 10 Leads PPP line against same-sex marriage, LGBT anti-discrimination law and the gender equality ministry
- Cho Kuk: 3 of 10 No record of opposing same-sex marriage; backs welfare-state family support
- Jung Chung-rae: 4.5 of 10 Follows DPK line deferring anti-discrimination law and same-sex marriage to 'social consensus'
National culture
- Han Dong-hoon: 5 of 10 No heritage or language agenda; mainstream conservative on Japan and history, backed reciprocity on Chinese residents' votes
- Kim Min-seok: 4.5 of 10 Follows DPK line opposing Japanese historical revisionism; government curbed anti-Chinese rallies; no heritage agenda
- Oh Se-hoon: 5.5 of 10 Planned 100-metre national-flag pole at Gwanghwamun, recast as Korean War memorial 'Garden of Gratitude'
- Jang Dong-hyeok: 6 of 10 Leads national-conservative, anti-communist PPP hostile to Chinese influence; no personal heritage agenda found
- Cho Kuk: 5 of 10 Posted 'Bamboo Spear Song' urging resistance in 2019 Japan trade dispute; ethnic minjok line on North Korea
- Jung Chung-rae: 5 of 10 Joined 1985 student occupation of US Cultural Center; strident line against Japanese historical revisionism
Subsidiarity
- Han Dong-hoon: 5 of 10 2024 pledged moving whole National Assembly to Sejong, yet also pushed Gimpo's absorption into 'Mega Seoul'
- Kim Min-seok: 6 of 10 Took office as PM in Sejong; government moved Oceans Ministry to Busan and backs Sejong capital
- Oh Se-hoon: 5 of 10 Backed 'Mega Seoul' expansion while seeking more fiscal and planning autonomy for Seoul city
- Jang Dong-hyeok: 5.5 of 10 Leads PPP, which backs Sejong presidential office and Assembly branch; no wider devolution programme
- Cho Kuk: 6 of 10 Pledged legislation to relocate the administrative capital out of Seoul
- Jung Chung-rae: 6 of 10 Backed DPK plan to complete Sejong administrative capital and Busan Oceans Ministry move
Technology
- Han Dong-hoon: 3 of 10 Pledged 200 trillion won AI investment; called AI-dividend redistribution talk premature amid AI race
- Kim Min-seok: 5 of 10 As PM oversaw AI Basic Act entry into force with promotion focus and grace period on fines
- Jang Dong-hyeok: 3.5 of 10 As PPP leader opposed DPK's 2025 false-information punitive-damages law as a 'gag law'
- Cho Kuk: 6 of 10 RKP voted with DPK on 2025 false-information punitive-damages law; supports platform rules
- Jung Chung-rae: 6.5 of 10 As DPK leader pushed 2025 law imposing punitive damages for false or manipulated information online