Indonesia presidential election polls
Presidential election By 20 Oct 2029, in 3 years.
Dedi Mulyadi (Gerindra) leads the polling average with 26.6%, 4.8 points ahead of Prabowo Subianto (Gerindra).
Average
Updated 34 minutes ago
DediDedi Mulyadi (Gerindra)
26.6
−2.4
PrabowoPrabowo Subianto (Gerindra)
21.8
−1.4
AniesAnies Baswedan (Independent)
11.8
−1.1
GibranGibran Rakabuming (Independent)
5.6
+0.5
GanjarGanjar Pranowo (PDI-P)
4.6
±0.0
AHYAgus Yudhoyono (Demokrat)
2.6
−1.0
SherlySherly Tjoanda (Independent)
2.0
−1.6
PurbayaPurbaya Yudhi Sadewa (Independent)
2.0
+0.3
Trend
DediPrabowoAniesGibranGanjarAHY
Stances
DediPrabowoAniesGibranGanjarAHY
Immigration5 unplaced
ExpandRestrictRemigration
Economy
Free marketState-directed
Islamic identity2 unplaced
Abortion3 unplaced
Broad accessProtect unborn life
Marriage & family3 unplaced
Individual choiceTraditional
National culture1 unplaced
CosmopolitanPreserve heritage
Technology5 unplaced
Light-touchRein in Big Tech
Scores and reasons written by AI. Methodology
Why these scores
Immigration
- Prabowo Subianto (Gerindra): 5 of 10 Said Indonesia must put its own poor before Rohingya refugees (December 2023); offered temporary care for Gazan wounded
Economy
- Dedi Mulyadi (Gerindra): 6 of 10 Calls himself socialist, citing communal Sundanese land; opposes mining; demolished illegal Puncak resort, paid evictees cash
- Prabowo Subianto (Gerindra): 7 of 10 Danantara fund pools state-firm assets; universal free school meals; 80,000 state-backed village cooperatives
- Anies Baswedan (Independent): 5.5 of 10 His Gerakan Rakyat party (2026) professes a social market economy; 2024 run favoured contract farming over food estates
- Gibran Rakabuming (Independent): 7 of 10 Ran on Prabowo's platform: universal free school meals, state-led resource downstreaming; defends it as vice president
- Ganjar Pranowo (PDI-P): 6 of 10 2024 platform: 'KTP Sakti' welfare card, free schooling, farmer fertiliser cards; PDI-P backed the deregulatory Job Creation law
- Agus Yudhoyono (Demokrat): 5 of 10 Demokrat is fiscally centre-right, but AHY coordinates Prabowo's state-led infrastructure and housing drive as minister
Islamic identity
- Dedi Mulyadi (Gerindra): 4 of 10 Muslim blending Sufism with Sundanese spirituality; Islamist FPI accused him of idolatry over puppet statues
- Prabowo Subianto (Gerindra): 5.5 of 10 No sharia agenda, but created a Hajj ministry; Gerindra backed 2022 code's blasphemy and extramarital-sex offences
- Anies Baswedan (Independent): 6 of 10 Won Jakarta 2017 with FPI backing, endorsed by Rizieq Shihab in 2024; as governor closed Alexis over prostitution
- Ganjar Pranowo (PDI-P): 4 of 10 PDI-P opposes religion-based regional bylaws; as governor he deducted 2.5% zakat from Muslim civil servants' pay
Abortion
- Prabowo Subianto (Gerindra): 7.5 of 10 No personal stance; his government keeps the near-ban allowing abortion only for emergencies or rape to 14 weeks
- Ganjar Pranowo (PDI-P): 7.5 of 10 PDI-P voted for the 2022 criminal code keeping abortion illegal except rape or emergencies; Ganjar silent
- Agus Yudhoyono (Demokrat): 7.5 of 10 Demokrat voted for the 2022 criminal code keeping abortion illegal except rape or emergencies; AHY silent
Marriage & family
- Dedi Mulyadi (Gerindra): 4.5 of 10 Proposed family planning, citing vasectomy, for aid recipients with many children; imposes 9pm student curfew; no LGBT stance
- Prabowo Subianto (Gerindra): 7.5 of 10 October 2025 decree lists spreading LGBT culture as a non-military national threat; extramarital sex criminalised from 2026
- Ganjar Pranowo (PDI-P): 6 of 10 PDI-P calls LGBT behaviour 'deviant' but urges tolerance; Ganjar campaigned against child marriage as governor
National culture
- Dedi Mulyadi (Gerindra): 7.5 of 10 Grounds policy in Sundanese ancestral values: Pajajaran-style installation rite, puppet statues, urges return to Prabu Siliwangi's teachings
- Prabowo Subianto (Gerindra): 7 of 10 Named Suharto a national hero (10 November 2025); culture ministry rewrote the official national history
- Anies Baswedan (Independent): 5.5 of 10 2017 inaugural speech invoked 'pribumi' (native) Indonesians; his party lists Indonesian nationalism among its ideologies
- Gibran Rakabuming (Independent): 5.5 of 10 As Solo mayor accepted Javanese royal court titles and pledged to develop court culture; no wider programme
- Ganjar Pranowo (PDI-P): 6 of 10 PDI-P's Trisakti doctrine demands national 'personality in culture'; Ganjar has no culture programme of his own
Subsidiarity
- Prabowo Subianto (Gerindra): 2.5 of 10 Cut 2026 transfers to regions by about a quarter; proposed having regional legislatures pick governors and mayors
- Ganjar Pranowo (PDI-P): 5.5 of 10 Heads PDI-P's regional autonomy division; party opposes ending direct elections of governors and mayors
Technology
- Prabowo Subianto (Gerindra): 8 of 10 Barred under-16s from TikTok, YouTube, Instagram and Roblox from March 2026; blocks unregistered platforms; nationwide pornography blocking
Recent polls
| Date | Pollster | Dedi | Prabowo | Anies | Gibran |
|---|
| 20 Oct | Indonesia Political Opinion | 32 | 18.4 | 12.6 | 3.1 |
| 10 Oct | SMRC | 35.5 | 9.8 | 10.3 | 8.4 |
| 6 Oct | Parameter Politik Indonesia | 11.4 | 31.6 | 10.1 | 6.9 |
| 11 Aug | Tempo Data Science | 42 | 15 | 10 | 6 |
| 3 Aug | Indonesia Political Opinion | 29.5 | 19 | 12.7 | 5.1 |
| 2 Aug | Median | 20.6 | 32.4 | 20.5 | 2.6 |
| 19 Jul | SMRC | 35 | 14.5 | 8.2 | 7.7 |
| 31 Mar | SMRC | 23.3 | 33.3 | 10.8 | 6.8 |
| 8 Mar | Poltracking | 13.5 | 32.9 | 9.2 | 4.2 |
| 5 Feb | Indonesian Public Institute | 7.9 | 22.3 | 8.5 | 12.2 |
| 25 Jan | Indekstat | 16.9 | 48.9 | 10.1 | 3.7 |
| 30 Nov 2025 | SMRC | 19.7 | 34.9 | 6.1 | 5.1 |
| 27 Oct 2025 | Indikator | 18.4 | 46.7 | 9 | 4.8 |
| 10 Oct 2025 | Poltracking | 15.7 | 48.5 | 6.3 | 4.9 |