Italy opinion polls
Parliamentary election Date not yet set.
Brothers of Italy leads the polling average with 27.5%, 7.1 points ahead of Democratic Party.
Average
Updated 34 minutes ago
FdIBrothers of Italy
27.5
+0.9
PDDemocratic Party
20.4
−0.4
M5SFive Star Movement
12.8
+0.1
FNNational Future
7.3
−0.5
AVSGreens and Left Alliance
6.3
−0.2
Trend
FdIPDM5SFNFIAVS
Stances
FdIPDM5SFNFIAVS
Immigration
ExpandRestrictRemigration
Economy
Free marketState-directed
Abortion
Broad accessProtect unborn life
Marriage & family
Individual choiceTraditional
National culture
CosmopolitanPreserve heritage
Technology2 unplaced
Light-touchRein in Big Tech
Scores and reasons written by AI. Methodology
Why these scores
Immigration
- Brothers of Italy: 6 of 10 In government built Albania offshore centres and fined NGO rescue ships, yet set 497,550 work visas for 2026-28
- Democratic Party: 2.5 of 10 Opposes the Albania centres; backed 2025 referendum halving residency for citizenship; wants Bossi-Fini law replaced
- Five Star Movement: 3.5 of 10 Opposes the Albania centres and backs ius scholae; Conte gave a free vote on 2025 citizenship referendum
- National Future: 8.5 of 10 22-point remigration plan: scrap work-visa quotas, cut foreigners to about 4% of population, deport non-assimilated
- Forza Italia: 5 of 10 Backs Albania centres and quota decrees in government; Tajani proposes 'ius Italiae' after ten school years
- Greens and Left Alliance: 1.5 of 10 Opposes Albania centres and NGO-ship fines; wants citizenship for children born or schooled in Italy
Economy
- Brothers of Italy: 4 of 10 Cut income tax to three brackets, middle rate to 33% in 2026; replaced citizens' income with narrower allowance
- Democratic Party: 6.5 of 10 Led opposition bill for €9 hourly minimum wage; backed 2025 referendums restoring dismissal protections
- Five Star Movement: 7 of 10 Created the citizens' income Meloni abolished and wants it restored; pushes a €9 hourly minimum wage
- National Future: 3.5 of 10 Flat tax for small firms, family-quotient income tax, €10,000 cash limit, plus sovereign fund and golden power
- Forza Italia: 3 of 10 Pushes income tax cuts for middle earners and higher minimum pensions; resisted 2023 bank windfall tax
- Greens and Left Alliance: 7.5 of 10 Wealth tax from €5 million in assets rising to 2% above €50 million; €9-10 minimum wage
Christian identity
- Brothers of Italy: 6.5 of 10 Meloni invokes Christian roots; October 2025 FdI bill would ban burqa and niqab and vet mosque funding
- Democratic Party: 2 of 10 Lay programme without religious-identity aims; backs a national assisted-dying law despite its Catholic wing
- Five Star Movement: 2 of 10 Secular platform; 2024 Nova constituent assembly backed legalising euthanasia and cannabis
- National Future: 7.5 of 10 Programme makes 'Christian identity' a non-negotiable red line to be institutionalised; motion against 'Islamisation' in schools
- Forza Italia: 4.5 of 10 EPP party stressing Europe's Christian roots; supports state funding for Catholic-run private schools
- Greens and Left Alliance: 1.5 of 10 Lay platform with no religious aims; backs legal assisted dying and IVF access for single women
Abortion
- Brothers of Italy: 4 of 10 Keeps law 194 but 2024 Malagola amendment let pro-life groups into counselling centres
- Democratic Party: 2 of 10 Opposed admitting pro-life groups to counselling centres; wants abortion access guaranteed against conscientious objection
- Five Star Movement: 2 of 10 Defends abortion law 194 as it stands; no proposal to restrict access
- National Future: 7 of 10 Programme seeks further restrictions on abortion and a ban on mifepristone-based abortion pills
- Forza Italia: 3.5 of 10 Accepts law 194 unchanged; voted for decree admitting pro-life groups to counselling centres
- Greens and Left Alliance: 1 of 10 Pledges free, effective access to abortion and contraception and aims to curb conscientious objection
Marriage & family
- Brothers of Italy: 6.5 of 10 2024 law made surrogacy a universal crime; June 2026 Valditara law requires parental consent for school sex-ed
- Democratic Party: 1.5 of 10 Schlein backs same-sex marriage and adoption; opposed blocking registration of same-sex parents' children
- Five Star Movement: 2.5 of 10 Backed civil unions and the Zan anti-homophobia bill; Maiorino's 2022 bill would open marriage to same-sex couples
- National Future: 8.5 of 10 Would repeal civil unions, limit adoption to married man-woman couples and pay mothers a 'Rebirth Income'
- Forza Italia: 5 of 10 Voted to make surrogacy a universal crime; opposes same-sex marriage while accepting civil unions
- Greens and Left Alliance: 1 of 10 Backs same-sex marriage, adoption by same-sex couples and singles, and a conversion-therapy ban
National culture
- Brothers of Italy: 7 of 10 Opposed ius scholae and the 2025 citizenship referendum; Rampelli bill would fine foreign words in official use
- Democratic Party: 2 of 10 Backs ius scholae and the 2025 referendum cutting citizenship residency from ten to five years
- Five Star Movement: 3 of 10 Conte backs ius scholae for foreign-born pupils but left a free vote on 2025 citizenship referendum
- National Future: 9 of 10 Citizenship needs 20 years' residence and a signed assimilation pledge to 'Greek, Roman and Christian civilisation'
- Forza Italia: 5 of 10 Opposed 2025 citizenship referendum but proposes a school-based citizenship path for foreign-born children
- Greens and Left Alliance: 1.5 of 10 Wants citizenship for children born or schooled in Italy; campaigned Yes in 2025 citizenship referendum
Subsidiarity
- Brothers of Italy: 6 of 10 ECR leader seeking a 'confederal Europe' of nations; backs regional autonomy law and stalled direct-premier reform
- Democratic Party: 2.5 of 10 Gathered signatures to repeal the regional autonomy law; PES member backing deeper EU integration
- Five Star Movement: 3.5 of 10 Opposed regional autonomy law; won EU joint recovery debt; 2024 Nova assembly backed a European army
- National Future: 8 of 10 Eurosceptic ESN member attacking the EU Stability Pact; programme weighs a return to the lira
- Forza Italia: 3.5 of 10 Tajani wants EU unanimity scrapped in foreign policy and a common European defence
- Greens and Left Alliance: 2 of 10 Wants EU national vetoes abolished and a European army; opposed the regional autonomy law
Technology
- Brothers of Italy: 6 of 10 Passed 2025 national AI law; AGCOM porn-site age checks; FdI senator's under-15 social media bill stalled
- Democratic Party: 6 of 10 Co-sponsored bipartisan bill raising social media age to 15; Nicita-Basso bill would also regulate platform algorithms
- Forza Italia: 5.5 of 10 Voted for 2025 national AI law; part of majority backing the stalled under-15 social media bill
- Greens and Left Alliance: 6 of 10 Among opposition parties backing the bipartisan bill raising social media age to 15 with age checks
Recent polls
| Date | Pollster | FdI | PD | M5S | FN |
|---|
| 29 Oct | Termometro Politico | 28.1 | 20.8 | 12.5 | 7.1 |
| 29 Oct | Ipsos | 26.7 | 19.9 | 14.9 | 7.9 |
| 28 Oct | Quorum | 28.1 | 19.9 | 13.5 | 7 |
| 28 Oct | Eumetra | 28.1 | 20.3 | 12.1 | 6.5 |
| 26 Oct | SWG | 29.3 | 20.6 | 12.4 | 5.6 |
| 22 Oct | Only Numbers | 28 | 20 | 11.4 | 6.8 |
| 22 Oct | Termometro Politico | 27.8 | 20.6 | 12.7 | 7.5 |
| 22 Oct | Lab21 | 28.4 | 20 | 13.2 | 7.9 |
| 21 Oct | Eumetra | 27.7 | 20.1 | 12.4 | 7.1 |
| 20 Oct | EMG | 26 | 20.5 | 11.6 | 5.6 |
| 19 Oct | Pieopoli | 28 | 20.5 | 13 | 6.5 |
| 19 Oct | BiDiMedia | 26.5 | 20.5 | 12 | 7.2 |
| 19 Oct | SWG | 28.1 | 20.7 | 12.7 | 7.2 |
| 15 Oct | Only Numbers | 27.8 | 20 | 11.1 | 6.8 |