United States
Arkansas Senate polls 2026
Senate election 3 Nov 2026, in 3 days.
Tom Cotton leads the polling average with 48.8%, 8.2 points ahead of Hallie Shoffner.
Average
Updated 34 minutes ago
Hallie Shoffner
40.6
−1.1
Trend
Tom CottonHallie Shoffner
Stances
Tom CottonHallie Shoffner
Immigration
ExpandRestrictRemigration
Economy
Free marketState-directed
Abortion1 unplaced
Broad accessProtect unborn life
Marriage & family1 unplaced
Individual choiceTraditional
National culture1 unplaced
CosmopolitanPreserve heritage
Technology
Light-touchRein in Big Tech
Scores and reasons written by AI. Methodology
Why these scores
Immigration
- Tom Cotton: 8 of 10 Wrote RAISE Act to halve legal immigration; backs Trump's mass deportations
- Hallie Shoffner: 3 of 10 Said yes to defunding ICE 'as it is now', later favoured reforming it with oversight
Economy
- Tom Cotton: 2 of 10 Voted for 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill tax and spending cuts
- Hallie Shoffner: 5.5 of 10 Opposed 2025 tax-cut bill as favouring the rich; protect Social Security, unions, worker tax cuts
Christian identity
- Tom Cotton: 6 of 10 Standard Republican religious-liberty record; no distinct religion-in-public-life legislation found
- Hallie Shoffner: 3 of 10 Describes herself as Christian; states no position on religion in public life
Abortion
- Tom Cotton: 7 of 10 Backs Arkansas's near-total ban and federal 20-week limit legislation
Marriage & family
- Tom Cotton: 7 of 10 Voted against 2022 Respect for Marriage Act; opposes transgender athletes in girls' sports
National culture
- Tom Cotton: 7 of 10 Introduced Saving American History Act to deny federal funds to schools teaching the 1619 Project
Subsidiarity
- Tom Cotton: 5 of 10 Urged sending federal troops into cities in 2020; backs leaving abortion to states after Dobbs
- Hallie Shoffner: 5.5 of 10 Wants Arkansas Public Service Commission, not federal DATA Act rules, to oversee data-centre power
Technology
- Tom Cotton: 6.5 of 10 Co-led bill banning social media under 13 and algorithmic feeds for minors; his DATA Act eases data-centre rules
- Hallie Shoffner: 5 of 10 Opposes Cotton's DATA Act easing power rules for AI data centres; no platform or child-safety record