Japan opinion polls
General election By 8 Feb 2030, in 3 years.
Liberal Democratic Party leads the polling average with 31.4%, 26.9 points ahead of Democratic Party For the People.
Average
Updated 34 minutes ago
LDPLiberal Democratic Party
31.4
−6.2
DPFPDemocratic Party For the People
4.5
−1.0
IshinJapan Innovation Party
3.8
−1.2
CDPConstitutional Democratic Party of Japan
3.6
+0.1
JCPJapanese Communist Party
2.5
−1.2
Trend
LDPDPFPSanseiIshinCDPJCP
Stances
LDPDPFPSanseiIshinCDPJCP
Immigration
ExpandRestrictRemigration
Economy
Free marketState-directed
Abortion1 unplaced
Broad accessProtect unborn life
Marriage & family
Individual choiceTraditional
National culture
CosmopolitanPreserve heritage
Technology
Light-touchRein in Big Tech
Scores and reasons written by AI. Methodology
Why these scores
Immigration
- Liberal Democratic Party: 5 of 10 2026 foreigner policy: Japanese course for permanent residency, longer naturalisation residence; worker cap 1.23 million to 2028
- Democratic Party For the People: 4.5 of 10 Programme: foreign land-purchase law, review foreigners' social insurance, stricter licence swaps; no intake cuts proposed
- Sanseitō: 7 of 10 Cap foreigners at 5% per municipality; stop welfare for foreigners with return support; stricter naturalisation and residency
- Japan Innovation Party: 5.5 of 10 Ishin Hassaku 2026: quantitative cap on foreign residents considered, Japanese for permanent residency, naturalisation revocation
- Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan: 3 of 10 2025 policy: multicultural coexistence law, independent refugee commission, new worker visa with objective intake caps
- Japanese Communist Party: 2 of 10 Abolish technical intern system; repeal 2023 rule deporting repeat asylum applicants; local votes for permanent residents
Economy
- Liberal Democratic Party: 4 of 10 Takaichi's 'responsible proactive fiscal policy': large stimulus, income-tax threshold rise, defence to 2% of GDP
- Democratic Party For the People: 4.5 of 10 Cut consumption tax to 5% and raise tax-free threshold to 1.78m yen; ¥5tn yearly education bonds
- Sanseitō: 5 of 10 Phase out consumption tax, cap tax burden at 35%, bond-funded spending, ¥100,000 monthly per child
- Japan Innovation Party: 2.5 of 10 Cut medical spending ¥4tn, raise elderly co-pay to 30%, two-for-one deregulation, ridesharing, flexible dismissals
- Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan: 6 of 10 Zero consumption tax on food, minimum-wage rises, tuition abolition, more progressive taxation
- Japanese Communist Party: 8 of 10 Cut consumption tax to 5% then abolish; ¥1,500 national minimum wage; tax big business and wealthy
Christian identity
- Liberal Democratic Party: 4.5 of 10 Takaichi sent Yasukuni offering April 2026 without visiting; 2012 draft constitution permits state customary religious rites
- Democratic Party For the People: 3 of 10 No religious policy; no proposals on Yasukuni or shrine support
- Sanseitō: 7 of 10 Pledges state ownership of shrine facilities and myth teaching in schools; draft constitution omits religious freedom
- Japan Innovation Party: 3 of 10 No religious policy in its 2026 platform
- Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan: 2 of 10 Opposes official Yasukuni visits; upholds strict separation of religion and state
- Japanese Communist Party: 1 of 10 Opposes Yasukuni visits and any state support for shrines; strict separation of religion and state
Abortion
- Liberal Democratic Party: 3.5 of 10 Keeps Maternal Protection Act's spousal-consent rule and penal abortion offence; no tightening proposed
- Democratic Party For the People: 3 of 10 No stated position; has not sought changes to the Maternal Protection Act
- Japan Innovation Party: 2.5 of 10 Platform: online prescription of morning-after pill; childbirth made free; no abortion restrictions proposed
- Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan: 1.5 of 10 Backs reproductive rights, over-the-counter morning-after pill and abortion-pill access information
- Japanese Communist Party: 1 of 10 Abolish crime of self-abortion and spousal-consent requirement; cheaper abortion pills
Marriage & family
- Liberal Democratic Party: 6 of 10 Opposes same-sex marriage and separate surnames; government plans a law giving maiden names legal effect instead
- Democratic Party For the People: 3 of 10 Programme pledges selective separate surnames and ending discrimination against children born outside marriage; no same-sex marriage pledge
- Sanseitō: 8 of 10 Opposes same-sex marriage and separate surnames; repeal LGBT Understanding Act; ¥100,000 monthly child benefit
- Japan Innovation Party: 3 of 10 Backs same-sex marriage and a Japanese PACS; but legal maiden-name use rather than separate surnames
- Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan: 1.5 of 10 Submitted separate-surnames bill 2025 and same-sex marriage bill; supports LGBT anti-discrimination law
- Japanese Communist Party: 1 of 10 Same-sex marriage, separate surnames and LGBT anti-discrimination law
National culture
- Liberal Democratic Party: 6.5 of 10 Enacted 2026 flag-desecration penalty and male-line imperial adoption law; rejects female-line succession
- Democratic Party For the People: 5.5 of 10 Co-sponsored 2026 flag-desecration law; pledges anti-espionage intelligence law and a ban on racial discrimination
- Sanseitō: 9 of 10 Draft constitution ties citizenship to Japanese parentage; bars naturalised first generation from candidacy; 'self-respect' history teaching
- Japan Innovation Party: 6 of 10 Co-sponsored 2026 flag-desecration law; male-line imperial adoption its first priority; bars foreign suffrage at all levels
- Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan: 2.5 of 10 Opposed 2026 flag-desecration and imperial adoption laws in upper house; wants comprehensive anti-discrimination law
- Japanese Communist Party: 1.5 of 10 Opposed 2026 flag-desecration law and male-line imperial adoption law, calling it a bar to female emperors
Subsidiarity
- Liberal Democratic Party: 4.5 of 10 2024 law lets state direct local governments in emergencies; passed 2026 secondary-capital law with Ishin
- Democratic Party For the People: 6 of 10 Pledges 50:50 national-local revenue split, transfer of powers and special-city status for big cities
- Sanseitō: 6.5 of 10 Opposes WHO pandemic treaty over sovereignty; proposes devolution modelled on Edo-era domains
- Japan Innovation Party: 8 of 10 Platform: dōshūsei regional states, rewrite constitution's local chapter as 'regional sovereignty', Osaka secondary capital
- Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan: 6 of 10 Shift tax split to 50:50 with localities, restore lump-sum grants, abolish state emergency directive power
- Japanese Communist Party: 5 of 10 Defends municipal self-government; opposes Osaka Metropolis Plan and regional-state mergers
Technology
- Liberal Democratic Party: 4.5 of 10 2025 AI Promotion Act without penalties; app-store competition law; 2026 panel urged age checks, rejected Australia-style ban
- Democratic Party For the People: 4.5 of 10 Pledges deepfake law and opt-out from AI training and targeted ads; AI investment tax breaks
- Sanseitō: 5.5 of 10 2026 policy: audits and transparency rules for foreign platforms, age-based internet limits for children, review school tablets
- Japan Innovation Party: 4 of 10 Agile governance for generative AI with safety and transparency rules for big platforms; faster defamation relief
- Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan: 5.5 of 10 Regulate big platforms on data and ads; ban impersonation scam ads; cites attention-economy harms
- Japanese Communist Party: 5.5 of 10 Wants EU-style risk-based AI law, platform accountability and creator copyright protection