Israel opinion polls
Parliamentary election Held 27 Oct 2026.
Likud leads the polling average with 18.8%, 2.7 points ahead of Yashar.
Average
Updated 34 minutes ago
UTJUnited Torah Judaism
6.0
Trend
LikudYasharTogetherShasDemsOtzma
Stances
LikudYasharTogetherShasDemsOtzma
Immigration
ExpandRestrictRemigration
Economy
Free marketState-directed
Abortion
Broad accessProtect unborn life
Marriage & family1 unplaced
Individual choiceTraditional
National culture
CosmopolitanPreserve heritage
Technology4 unplaced
Light-touchRein in Big Tech
Scores and reasons written by AI. Methodology
Why these scores
Immigration
- Likud: 7 of 10 Built Egypt border fence; sought mass deportation of African asylum seekers; 2024 law deports terrorists' relatives
- Yashar: 4 of 10 Targets one million new immigrants in ten years; pledges to keep Law of Return's Grandchild Clause
- Together: 5 of 10 No immigration plank; Bennett government passed 2022 law barring Palestinian spouses and capped Ukrainian refugees
- Shas: 6.5 of 10 Deri's Interior Ministry pushed African asylum-seeker deportations; seeks to repeal Law of Return's Grandchild Clause
- The Democrats: 2.5 of 10 Labor and Meretz, now merged, opposed detaining and deporting African asylum seekers; no restriction pledge
- Otzma Yehudit: 9 of 10 Calls for expelling 'disloyal' Arab citizens and encouraging Gazans and other Arabs to emigrate
Economy
- Likud: 3 of 10 Netanyahu's record of tax cuts and privatising state firms; officially free-market, with coalition-fund spending
- Yashar: 4 of 10 Plans open, competitive economy, breaking up economic concentration, land-authority reform, plus heavy periphery investment
- Together: 3.5 of 10 Pledges to break monopolies, deregulate and open imports to cut food prices 30%, plus doubling low pensions
- Shas: 6 of 10 Champions child allowances, yeshiva stipends and welfare for poorer Sephardi families; backs Likud coalition budgets
- The Democrats: 6.5 of 10 Backs welfare state, stronger unions, public health and education; opposes their privatisation
- Otzma Yehudit: 4 of 10 Platform of 'Jewish capitalism': cut bureaucracy and regulation, with aid for elderly and disabled
Jewish identity
- Likud: 6 of 10 Keeps Rabbinate marriage monopoly; passed 2018 Mini-Market Law curbing Shabbat trading; sought Haredi draft-exemption law
- Yashar: 4.5 of 10 Pledges 'inclusive and respectful Judaism' in a Jewish and democratic state; no plan to end Rabbinate monopoly
- Together: 3 of 10 Would allow civil marriage, end Rabbinate marriage monopoly, loosen kosher certification and let cities run Shabbat transport
- Shas: 9.5 of 10 Seeks a larger role for halakha in public life; defends Rabbinate monopoly on marriage, conversion and Shabbat laws
- The Democrats: 1.5 of 10 Pledges civil marriage, ending Rabbinate monopolies on conversion and kashrut, and Shabbat public transport
- Otzma Yehudit: 8 of 10 Orthodox party seeking Jewish sovereignty and prayer on the Temple Mount and more Jewish-identity teaching in schools
Abortion
- Likud: 3 of 10 Accepts committee system approving about 98% of requests; Likud-led governments made no change
- Yashar: 2.5 of 10 No stated change to Israel's committee-approval abortion system; secular-centrist platform silent on abortion
- Together: 2.5 of 10 No proposal to change Israel's committee-approval abortion law
- Shas: 7 of 10 Opposes abortion except to save the mother's life or health, per halakha; no current bill to restrict
- The Democrats: 1 of 10 Meretz sought to abolish abortion committees; Meretz Health Minister Horowitz eased abortion access in 2022
- Otzma Yehudit: 7 of 10 Opposes abortion on halakhic grounds; no current bill to restrict the committee system
Marriage & family
- Likud: 5.5 of 10 Netanyahu voted down 2018 same-sex surrogacy amendment; governs with anti-LGBT Noam; has openly gay Likud MKs
- Together: 3 of 10 Supports civil marriage outside the Rabbinate; Yesh Atid backs same-sex marriage, surrogacy and conversion-therapy ban
- Shas: 9 of 10 Opposes Pride parades and LGBT legislation, Rabbinate-only marriage; backs large-family child allowances
- The Democrats: 1 of 10 LGBTQ equality pillar: equal rights to marry and start families; supports civil marriage
- Otzma Yehudit: 8.5 of 10 Ben-Gvir led protests against Jerusalem Pride; Orthodox traditional marriage and family stance
National culture
- Likud: 7.5 of 10 Passed 2018 Nation-State Law: Jewish national home, Hebrew sole official language, Jewish settlement a national value
- Yashar: 5 of 10 Defines Israel as Jewish and democratic national home 'in spirit of Declaration of Independence'; universal national service
- Together: 6 of 10 Would unify the four school streams under a common curriculum emphasising Israeli national identity
- Shas: 7 of 10 Founded to 'restore the crown' of Sephardi religious heritage; backs Jewish character of the state
- The Democrats: 2.5 of 10 Zionist party pledging to repeal the Nation-State Law as discriminatory against non-Jewish citizens
- Otzma Yehudit: 9.5 of 10 Seeks full Jewish rule from Jordan to sea; 2026 bill curbing mosque calls to prayer
Subsidiarity
- Likud: 4.5 of 10 No devolution agenda; 2023 judicial overhaul sought more government control over judicial appointments
- Yashar: 6 of 10 Pledges wider independence for local authorities and communities and decentralised school powers
- Together: 5 of 10 Would give cities transit and Shabbat transport powers, but merge all four school streams into one curriculum
- Shas: 5 of 10 Deri's 2018 Mini-Market Law let interior minister veto city Shabbat bylaws; defends own autonomous school network
- The Democrats: 4 of 10 Would restore state education, health funds and National Insurance as national pillars; no devolution plan
- Otzma Yehudit: 4 of 10 Won 2022 law widening police minister's power over police policy; National Guard placed under its minister
Technology
- Likud: 3.5 of 10 Its government's 2023 AI policy chose sectoral soft rules over an AI law; Karhi pushed broadcast deregulation
- Shas: 7 of 10 Its 2008 bill would have made ISPs filter pornography by default; defends rabbinically supervised kosher phones
Recent polls
| Date | Pollster | Likud | Yashar | Together | Shas |
|---|
| 7 Sept | S.M.L.T. | 19.2 | 15.2 | 7.3 | 7.9 |
| 9 Aug | Kantar (Kan 11)+2 scenarios | 18.3 | 17.6 | 9.9 | 6.1 |