Netherlands election polls 2030
Parliamentary election 15 May 2030, in 4 years.
Progressief Nederland leads the polling average with 17.4%, 5.2 points ahead of Party for Freedom.
Average
Updated 34 minutes ago
PROProgressief Nederland
17.4
+1.2
PVVParty for Freedom
12.2
+0.5
VVDPeople's Party for Freedom and Democracy
11.4
−1.6
D66Democrats 66
11.1
−1.7
CDAChristian Democratic Appeal
9.2
−0.5
FvDForum for Democracy
7.8
−0.1
PvdDParty for the Animals
3.4
+0.2
Trend
PROPVVVVDD66JA21CDA
Stances
PROPVVVVDD66JA21CDA
Immigration
ExpandRestrictRemigration
Economy
Free marketState-directed
Abortion
Broad accessProtect unborn life
Marriage & family
Individual choiceTraditional
National culture
CosmopolitanPreserve heritage
Technology1 unplaced
Light-touchRein in Big Tech
Scores and reasons written by AI. Methodology
Why these scores
Immigration
- Progressief Nederland: 2.5 of 10 GL-PvdA platform kept the Refugee Convention and Dispersal Act sharing asylum reception across all municipalities
- Party for Freedom: 8 of 10 2025 programme: total asylum stop, revoke 70,000 Syrians' permits, no immigration from Islamic countries
- People's Party for Freedom and Democracy: 6 of 10 Asylum only via resettlement, possibly zero; turn back arrivals at border, modernise ECHR and Refugee Convention
- Democrats 66: 3.5 of 10 Opposes criminalising illegal stay, raise resettlement to 5,000 a year; closed reception for nuisance asylum seekers
- JA21: 7 of 10 Aims for asylum stop, revoke Syrian statuses and plan forced returns, remigration benefits for failed integration
- Christian Democratic Appeal: 5.5 of 10 Asylum applications outside Europe, two-status system, family reunification limited to core family, return hubs
Economy
- Progressief Nederland: 6.5 of 10 2025 platform: higher wealth and profit taxes, higher minimum wage, smaller mortgage interest deduction, halved health deductible
- Party for Freedom: 5.5 of 10 Abolish health deductible, AOW at 65, no VAT on groceries, statutory price caps, 10% social-rent cut
- People's Party for Freedom and Democracy: 2.5 of 10 Keep taxes low, stop levelling, keep mortgage interest deduction, cap total benefits per household
- Democrats 66: 4.5 of 10 Tax large fortunes and polluters more, phase out homeowner tax benefits, lower tax on work
- JA21: 2.5 of 10 Simpler, lower income tax, smaller EU budget, no joint EU debt, against EU industrial policy
- Christian Democratic Appeal: 4.5 of 10 Higher merged child benefit, solidarity-based healthcare, near-free childcare, room for family firms
Christian identity
- Progressief Nederland: 1.5 of 10 Secular progressive platform; no public role for faith beyond equal-treatment limits on religious schools
- Party for Freedom: 4 of 10 Celebrates churches, Christmas and Easter as heritage; would ban Islamic schools; no faith-based law agenda
- People's Party for Freedom and Democracy: 1.5 of 10 Would amend Article 23 to force religious schools to accept all pupils; scrap identity declarations
- Democrats 66: 1.5 of 10 Secular liberal; police and judges in neutral dress without visible religious symbols
- JA21: 3 of 10 Strict church-state separation: no religious gatherings in public space; stricter oversight of Islamic schools
- Christian Democratic Appeal: 4.5 of 10 Stands firm on Article 23 faith-school freedom; values churches and mosques as civil society; bans parallel religious marriages
Abortion
- Progressief Nederland: 1 of 10 September 2026 bill moves abortion from the Criminal Code into health law; next, a constitutional right
- Party for Freedom: 3 of 10 2025 programme silent on abortion; most PVV MPs voted against scrapping the five-day wait in 2022
- People's Party for Freedom and Democracy: 1.5 of 10 Calls abortion a right; GP abortion pill, wants legal abortion out of the Criminal Code
- Democrats 66: 1 of 10 Wants abortion access in the Constitution and fully removed from the Criminal Code
- JA21: 3 of 10 Calls abortion a women's right but wants continued debate on the abortion time limit
- Christian Democratic Appeal: 3.5 of 10 Abortion Act stays unchanged, framed by the 'fundamental protection of life'
Marriage & family
- Progressief Nederland: 1 of 10 Backed easing legal gender change without expert statement and legal multi-parent recognition
- Party for Freedom: 4.5 of 10 Backs gay equality but only two sexes in law: no X passport, no trans women in women's spaces
- People's Party for Freedom and Democracy: 2 of 10 Pledges ambitious LGBTIQ+ emancipation policy, defends same-sex marriage, near-free childcare for working parents
- Democrats 66: 1 of 10 Legal basis for multi-parenthood, better transgender care, ban on conversion practices
- JA21: 4.5 of 10 Opposes diversity and 'woke' training; rejects euthanasia for those not medically suffering
- Christian Democratic Appeal: 5 of 10 Family as society's core: higher child benefit, minister for family; opposes 'completed life' law
National culture
- Progressief Nederland: 2 of 10 Champions slavery-past recognition and a national Keti Koti holiday; civic, multicultural idea of citizenship
- Party for Freedom: 8.5 of 10 Withdraw slavery apology, keep Zwarte Piet, defund NPO, ban Arabic street signage and burqas
- People's Party for Freedom and Democracy: 4.5 of 10 Newcomers must embrace Western liberal values; cap foreign funding of religious organisations at 50%
- Democrats 66: 1.5 of 10 Make Keti Koti (1 July, slavery remembrance) a national holiday; builds Kingdom ties on the slavery apology
- JA21: 7 of 10 Dutch culture must be the leading culture; no slavery reparations, burqa ban, call-to-prayer ban
- Christian Democratic Appeal: 5 of 10 Preserve cultural traditions and regional heritage while teaching the slavery past
Subsidiarity
- Progressief Nederland: 2.5 of 10 Strongly pro-EU; joined the Party of European Socialists in 2026, backs joint EU investment
- Party for Freedom: 7 of 10 Force EU asylum opt-out via veto, cut EU contributions, binding referendums and elected mayors
- People's Party for Freedom and Democracy: 5 of 10 Critical of any new transfer of powers to Brussels, no EU army; wants asylum opt-out in next treaty
- Democrats 66: 1.5 of 10 Supports further EU federalisation, abolishing national vetoes and joint EU borrowing
- JA21: 7 of 10 No step toward federal Europe; EU must return powers to member states; keep vetoes
- Christian Democratic Appeal: 4 of 10 Strong Europe: open to eurobonds for defence, end foreign-policy veto on sanctions; regional cultural funding
Technology
- Progressief Nederland: 6.5 of 10 Pushes digital independence from US Big Tech and strict enforcement of EU platform rules
- People's Party for Freedom and Democracy: 6 of 10 Effective youth social media ban, ban addictive algorithms; but wants the EU AI Act and GDPR loosened
- Democrats 66: 7 of 10 Age limit of 15 for addictive apps, no phones in schools, 24-hour deepfake removal duty
- JA21: 3 of 10 Embrace AI for productivity, simple tech rules; ethical frameworks secondary; national cloud for sovereignty
- Christian Democratic Appeal: 7 of 10 Mandatory social media age verification, tighter DSA against X and Telegram, safest default settings