Norway opinion polls
Parliamentary election Date not yet set.
Progress Party leads the polling average with 32.7%, 10.8 points ahead of Labour Party.
Average
Updated 34 minutes ago
FrPProgress Party
32.7
+1.9
HConservative Party
13.4
−1.5
SVSocialist Left Party
4.8
−0.4
KrFChristian Democratic Party
3.7
−0.2
Trend
FrPApHRSpSV
Stances
FrPApHRSpSV
Immigration
ExpandRestrictRemigration
Economy
Free marketState-directed
Abortion
Broad accessProtect unborn life
Marriage & family
Individual choiceTraditional
National culture
CosmopolitanPreserve heritage
Technology
Light-touchRein in Big Tech
Scores and reasons written by AI. Methodology
Why these scores
Immigration
- Progress Party: 7 of 10 Motions for deportation reform, halting quota refugees, offshore asylum centres and reviewing Eritreans' residence permits
- Labour Party: 4 of 10 Prioritises UN quota refugees; tighter family-reunification ties and integration contracts; settled refugees stay
- Conservative Party: 4.5 of 10 Wants stricter family-reunification income and language rules, detention for unfounded claims; quota refugees as main route
- Red Party: 1.5 of 10 Proposed pausing all expulsion cases involving children and reforming the asylum appeals board to strengthen asylum rights
- Centre Party: 5 of 10 Prioritise quota refugees, refer asylum seekers to safe third countries, tighter family immigration and fast returns
- Socialist Left Party: 1 of 10 Amnesty after five years for unreturnable migrants, 5,000 UN quota refugees yearly, opposes third-country processing
Economy
- Progress Party: 2.5 of 10 Wants large tax cuts, privatisation and a smaller state, but more oil-fund spending than the fiscal rule allows
- Labour Party: 6 of 10 Keeps the wealth tax and universal welfare state; rejects large tax cuts for the wealthiest
- Conservative Party: 3.5 of 10 Alternative 2026 budget cuts taxes by 30 billion kroner; would scrap wealth tax on working capital
- Red Party: 8 of 10 Wants commercial banks and hospitals publicly owned, no for-profit welfare, ban on agency staffing
- Centre Party: 5 of 10 Keep state stakes in big listed firms, end hospital trusts, stronger farm tariffs; cut wealth tax for small owners
- Socialist Left Party: 7.5 of 10 Wants to abolish staffing agencies, end private profit in welfare, create a state electricity trader
Christian identity
- Progress Party: 5.5 of 10 Proposed anchoring school Christmas services in law, banning child hijab and Quran boarding schools; prioritises Christian refugees
- Labour Party: 2.5 of 10 Funds the Church of Norway as folk church while backing equal treatment of all faiths
- Conservative Party: 3.5 of 10 Funds the Church of Norway as folk church and cultural bearer; no religious symbols on police and judges
- Red Party: 1 of 10 Supports full separation of church and state; no Christian identity plank in its programme
- Centre Party: 4.5 of 10 Backs the Church of Norway's folk-church role; says schools must teach Christianity as cultural heritage
- Socialist Left Party: 1.5 of 10 Equal treatment of faiths; would cut state support to faith groups practising negative social control
Abortion
- Progress Party: 3.5 of 10 No party line; in the 2024 free vote 14 of 20 MPs opposed the 18-week limit
- Labour Party: 1.5 of 10 Its government extended abortion on request to 18 weeks in 2024; MPs proposed a constitutional abortion right
- Conservative Party: 2.5 of 10 Free vote on the limit (MPs split 16-20 on 18 weeks); pledges not to reopen the law 2025-2029
- Red Party: 0 of 10 In the 2024 abortion bill proposed abortion on request with no week limit and abolishing abortion committees
- Centre Party: 3 of 10 No limit pledge; MPs split 13-14 on 18 weeks; opposes research on aborted foetuses
- Socialist Left Party: 0.5 of 10 Wants abortion committees abolished, leaving the decision to the woman in line with WHO guidelines
Marriage & family
- Progress Party: 4.5 of 10 Backs same-sex marriage; proposed freely divisible parental leave and a gender-neutral equality and discrimination law
- Labour Party: 2 of 10 Programme pledges legal and health protections for gender and sexual identity; cheaper childcare, free after-school core hours
- Conservative Party: 3 of 10 Backed same-sex marriage and the 2016 gender self-ID law; would abolish cash-for-care, raise child benefit
- Red Party: 1 of 10 Calls for a third legal gender and strongly backs queer rights and feminist equality measures
- Centre Party: 5 of 10 Pro-natal: tax cut for parents under 30, third-child grant, keeps cash-for-care and universal child benefit
- Socialist Left Party: 1 of 10 Wants a third legal gender category and decentralised trans health care
National culture
- Progress Party: 6.5 of 10 Proposed child-hijab ban and Quran-school curbs; wants Sami Parliament abolished and NRK split up and sold
- Labour Party: 3 of 10 Integration contracts for family migrants and nynorsk teacher training; describes Norway as diverse and worldview-open
- Conservative Party: 5 of 10 Proposes a Norwegian cultural canon of essential works; keeps folk church; religiously neutral police and court uniforms
- Red Party: 2 of 10 Wants real power for the Sami Parliament and more Sami media; regards immigration as enriching Norway
- Centre Party: 6 of 10 Defends nynorsk with exams in both written forms; rural culture and national control of food and resources
- Socialist Left Party: 2 of 10 Expects a more multicultural Norway; funds national minorities and anti-racism work, police stop receipts
Subsidiarity
- Progress Party: 6.5 of 10 Proposed abolishing county councils and a municipal veto on asylum centres; opposes EU membership, keeps EEA
- Labour Party: 4 of 10 Guarantees the EEA agreement and close EU cooperation; EU membership not on its current agenda
- Conservative Party: 2.5 of 10 Pledges to work for Norwegian EU membership; drove the 2017-2020 municipal and county merger reforms
- Red Party: 7 of 10 Wants the EEA terminated and replaced by a trade deal, a veto on EU energy package, more referendums
- Centre Party: 8 of 10 Wants EEA replaced with a trade deal, exit ACER, no forced municipal mergers, state jobs moved from Oslo
- Socialist Left Party: 6 of 10 Opposes EU and EEA membership; wants Norway out of ACER and the EU energy union
Technology
- Progress Party: 3.5 of 10 Most MPs voted against 2025 motions for a 15-year social media age limit and a surveillance-ad ban
- Labour Party: 7 of 10 Its government drafted a law setting 15 as minimum social media age with verification; loot-box regulation
- Conservative Party: 6.5 of 10 Wants a 15-year social media age limit with e-ID verification and stricter algorithm regulation; AI ethics council
- Red Party: 6.5 of 10 Voted to make platforms editorially liable and ban surveillance ads; proposed a review of school screen use
- Centre Party: 6.5 of 10 Wants a social media age limit with digital verification, a national school mobile ban, platform editorial liability
- Socialist Left Party: 7 of 10 Wants far tougher social media rules, break-up of big tech, a digital turnover tax, school mobile ban
Recent polls
| Date | Pollster | FrP | Ap | H | R |
|---|
| 21 Oct | Norstat | 31.6 | 22.5 | 13.1 | 8.8 |
| 12 Oct | Respons Analyse | 33.9 | 21 | 14.4 | 7.9 |
| 10 Oct | Opinion | 32.7 | 22.3 | 12.8 | 9.2 |
| 7 Oct | Norfakta | 33.2 | 21.2 | 12.8 | 6.2 |
| 7 Oct | Verian | 31.9 | 21.4 | 14.3 | 7 |
| 1 Oct | InFact | 35.1 | 21.5 | 11.9 | 8.4 |
| 27 Sept | Opinion | 32.6 | 22.4 | 13.7 | 8 |
| 14 Sept | Respons Analyse | 30.4 | 24.3 | 16 | 6.4 |
| 12 Sept | Opinion | 32.5 | 20.6 | 14.3 | 7.9 |
| 8 Sept | Verian | 29.2 | 25.6 | 15.2 | 6.6 |
| 5 Sept | Norstat | 30.2 | 22 | 15.7 | 7.6 |
| 2 Sept | InFact | 31.4 | 22 | 13.7 | 7.1 |
| 2 Sept | Norfakta | 33.4 | 24 | 13.2 | 6.9 |
| 29 Aug | Opinion | 31 | 22.8 | 14.9 | 7.8 |