UK opinion polls
General election By 15 Aug 2029, in 3 years.
Labour Party leads the polling average with 28.3%, 6.1 points ahead of Reform UK.
Average
Updated 34 minutes ago
LabLabour Party
28.3
+1.9
ConConservative Party
21.1
+0.9
LDLiberal Democrats
9.7
−0.7
RBRestore Britain
4.5
+0.5
SNPScottish National Party
2.6
−0.1
Trend
LabRefConLDGrnRB
Stances
LabRefConLDGrnRB
Immigration
ExpandRestrictRemigration
Economy
Free marketState-directed
Abortion
Broad accessProtect unborn life
Marriage & family
Individual choiceTraditional
National culture
CosmopolitanPreserve heritage
Technology
Light-touchRein in Big Tech
Scores and reasons written by AI. Methodology
Why these scores
Immigration
- Labour Party: 4.5 of 10 Burnham backs Mahmood's earned settlement, up to 15 years for ILR, and temporary refugee status
- Reform UK: 7.5 of 10 Would abolish indefinite leave to remain, leave the ECHR, pass a mass deportation bill, refuse illegal entrants asylum
- Conservative Party: 6.5 of 10 Leave the ECHR, deport all illegal entrants, ten-year settlement wait, no settlement for benefit claimants
- Liberal Democrats: 2.5 of 10 Wants safe legal asylum routes, asylum seekers allowed to work after three months, EU youth mobility
- Green Party: 1.5 of 10 Opposes migration caps and calls the asylum system 'cruel'; backs safe legal routes
- Restore Britain: 10 of 10 Deport legal residents on benefits, in social housing or without English; retroactive ILR overhaul
Economy
- Labour Party: 6.5 of 10 Burnham will repeal the legal cap on state stakes in water firms; keeps fiscal rules
- Reform UK: 2 of 10 Plans £50bn welfare cuts and to reinstate the two-child cap, but backs nationalising British Steel
- Conservative Party: 3.5 of 10 Pledged to abolish stamp duty on homes, funded by about £47bn of spending and welfare cuts
- Liberal Democrats: 5.5 of 10 Free personal care funded by higher taxes on banks, big tech and wealthy capital gains
- Green Party: 7.5 of 10 Wealth tax of 1-2% on assets over £10m; nationalise water, energy and railways
- Restore Britain: 1.5 of 10 Abolish inheritance tax, Europe's lowest flat corporation tax, end foreign aid and foreigners' benefits
Christian identity
- Labour Party: 2 of 10 No change to Church of England establishment or faith schools; no religious legislative agenda
- Reform UK: 5 of 10 Farage invokes Britain's 'Judeo-Christian' culture; no church-state or religious-law programme
- Conservative Party: 3.5 of 10 Defends the established Church of England and faith schools; no religious legislative agenda
- Liberal Democrats: 1.5 of 10 Long-standing policy of separating church and state; would end compulsory collective worship in schools
- Green Party: 1 of 10 Wants the Church of England disestablished and church separated from state
- Restore Britain: 7 of 10 Christian heritage restoration fund, block church-to-mosque conversions, more Christian heritage in history lessons
Abortion
- Labour Party: 2 of 10 Free vote: most Labour MPs backed 2025 decriminalisation for women; 24-week limit unchanged
- Reform UK: 4 of 10 No party policy; Farage calls the 24-week limit 'utterly ludicrous' and urged debate on tighter curbs
- Conservative Party: 3 of 10 Abortion left to free votes under current law; Badenoch voted against 2025 decriminalisation
- Liberal Democrats: 1 of 10 Party policy to fully decriminalise abortion across the UK
- Green Party: 1 of 10 Backs full decriminalisation of abortion, treated as healthcare
- Restore Britain: 5 of 10 Would reverse the 2025 decriminalisation it calls 'abortion up to birth'; repeal assisted dying law
Marriage & family
- Labour Party: 2.5 of 10 Abolished the two-child benefit limit; accepted the 2025 biological-sex ruling; plans conversion practices ban
- Reform UK: 5.5 of 10 Would ban 'transgender ideology' and social transitioning in schools; Farage calls same-sex marriage settled
- Conservative Party: 4.5 of 10 Would amend the Equality Act to define sex as biological; supports same-sex marriage
- Liberal Democrats: 1.5 of 10 Backs legal recognition of non-binary people and gender recognition reform; strong LGBT+ equality agenda
- Green Party: 0.5 of 10 Backs gender self-identification; Polanski called the 2025 Supreme Court sex ruling 'thinly veiled transphobia'
- Restore Britain: 6.5 of 10 Repeal the Gender Recognition Act, no legal sex changes, cheaper childcare to raise birth rate
National culture
- Labour Party: 3 of 10 Raised English-language requirements for visas and settlement; otherwise civic, multicultural approach to identity
- Reform UK: 7 of 10 Pledges a patriotic curriculum; Reform-run councils fly only national flags and cut diversity roles
- Conservative Party: 5.5 of 10 Badenoch says not all cultures are equally valid; opposes teaching white privilege; wants integration strategy
- Liberal Democrats: 2 of 10 Wants Erasmus and EU youth mobility back; no heritage or integration-test agenda
- Green Party: 1 of 10 Polanski backs abolishing the monarchy; party champions immigrants and a civic, multicultural identity
- Restore Britain: 9 of 10 Defines Britishness by 'indigenous British ancestry and Christian faith'; pro-British curriculum, burqa ban
Subsidiarity
- Labour Party: 4.5 of 10 Number 10 North and English devolution to mayors; closer EU ties, rejoining only long-term
- Reform UK: 7 of 10 Leave the ECHR and refugee conventions; replace the Human Rights Act with a British Bill of Rights
- Conservative Party: 6 of 10 Would leave the ECHR and repeal the Human Rights Act; opposes devolved immigration powers
- Liberal Democrats: 3.5 of 10 EU customs union now, membership later; federal UK with home rule and stronger councils
- Green Party: 4 of 10 Wants to rejoin the EU but backs Scottish and Welsh self-determination and local control
- Restore Britain: 7 of 10 Puts national sovereignty over international institutions; would scrap 'human rights' barriers to deportation
Technology
- Labour Party: 8 of 10 Announced an under-16 social media ban from spring 2027; enforces Online Safety Act age checks
- Reform UK: 2 of 10 Pledged to repeal the Online Safety Act; Farage says an under-16 ban won't work
- Conservative Party: 7.5 of 10 Pledged an under-16 social media ban and school phone ban (Jan 2026); passed Online Safety Act
- Liberal Democrats: 7 of 10 Proposes film-style age ratings for social media and curbs on harmful algorithms for under-16s
- Green Party: 6 of 10 Wants addictive algorithms aimed at children curbed but warns a blanket under-16 ban may isolate some
- Restore Britain: 1.5 of 10 Repeal the Online Safety Act, overturn any VPN ban, legislate against mandatory digital ID