Portugal opinion polls
Parliamentary election By 14 Oct 2029, in 3 years.
PS leads the polling average with 28.7%, 2.0 points ahead of CH.
Average
Updated 34 minutes ago
Trend
PSCHADILOL
Stances
PSCHADILOL
Immigration1 unplaced
ExpandRestrictRemigration
Economy1 unplaced
Free marketState-directed
Christian identity1 unplaced
Abortion1 unplaced
Broad accessProtect unborn life
Marriage & family1 unplaced
Individual choiceTraditional
National culture1 unplaced
CosmopolitanPreserve heritage
Technology1 unplaced
Light-touchRein in Big Tech
Scores and reasons written by AI. Methodology
Why these scores
Immigration
- PS: 3 of 10 Expanded the 'expression of interest' regularisation route; voted against the 2025 nationality-law tightening
- CH: 7 of 10 Wants deportation of illegal and criminal migrants and citizenship stripped from naturalised offenders; tighter asylum
- AD: 5.5 of 10 Ended visa-free 'expression of interest' residence; tightened family reunification; raised naturalisation residency to ten years
- IL: 4 of 10 Backs work-driven immigration but voted for the 2025 nationality-law tightening and face-veil ban
- L: 1.5 of 10 Opposed every 2025 immigration and nationality tightening; calls for faster regularisation and integration
Economy
- PS: 5.5 of 10 Opposed AD's deeper corporate tax cuts and labour reform; defends public health service and housing investment
- CH: 3.5 of 10 Proposes income-tax cuts and abolishing IMI property tax, but a minimum pension equal to minimum wage
- AD: 3.5 of 10 Cutting corporate tax from 21% toward 17%, youth income-tax relief; labour reform easing fixed-term contracts
- IL: 1.5 of 10 Proposes simpler, lower income tax, deep corporate tax cuts and selling state stakes in firms like TAP
- L: 6.5 of 10 Won a four-day-week pilot; proposes universal basic income trials and higher taxes on wealth
Christian identity
- PS: 2 of 10 Secular centre-left; passed the 2023 euthanasia law over Catholic Church objections
- CH: 6.5 of 10 Seeks closer ties with Catholicism, 'God, fatherland, family'; would close fundamentalist mosques
- AD: 4 of 10 PSD keeps the Concordat church-state model; CDS partner is Christian-democratic; no confessional legislation
- IL: 1.5 of 10 Secular liberals; voted for the 2023 euthanasia law
- L: 1.5 of 10 Secular left-libertarians; its MP voted for the 2023 euthanasia law
Abortion
- PS: 2 of 10 Passed the 2007 law allowing abortion on request to ten weeks; defends free NHS provision
- CH: 5 of 10 Opposes abortion but does not seek to outlaw it; rejects extending the ten-week limit
- AD: 3 of 10 Keeps the 2007 law allowing abortion on request to ten weeks; no plan to extend or restrict
- IL: 2 of 10 Accepts the ten-week on-request law; no proposal to restrict it
- L: 1 of 10 Defends and seeks to widen abortion access beyond the current ten-week limit
Marriage & family
- PS: 1.5 of 10 Passed the 2018 gender self-ID law (from age 16); voted against the 2026 repeal bills
- CH: 7 of 10 Co-sponsored 2026 bill repealing gender self-ID; wants LGBTI 'propaganda' banned from schools
- AD: 5.5 of 10 PSD and CDS 2026 bills repeal gender self-ID, ban gender care for minors and school 'gender ideology'
- IL: 1.5 of 10 Voted against the 2026 bills repealing gender self-identification
- L: 0.5 of 10 Voted against the 2026 repeal of gender self-ID; strong LGBT-rights agenda
National culture
- PS: 2.5 of 10 Voted against the face-veil ban and the nationality law's stricter requirements
- CH: 7.5 of 10 Authored the 2025 face-veil ban; says immigrants must respect Portuguese customs; defends bullfighting
- AD: 5.5 of 10 PSD backed Chega's 2025 face-veil ban; nationality law adds Portuguese language and civic knowledge tests
- IL: 3.5 of 10 Civic liberal stance; backed language and civics tests for naturalisation, no heritage agenda
- L: 1 of 10 Anti-racist, multicultural platform; opposed the face-veil ban; seeks to ban bullfighting
Subsidiarity
- PS: 3 of 10 Strongly pro-EU (PES); supports creating elected administrative regions on the mainland
- CH: 6 of 10 Wants a 'Europe of sovereign nations' and would leave a federal EU; rejects compulsory migrant quotas
- AD: 3.5 of 10 Pro-EU (EPP); transfers powers to municipalities but rules out a mainland regionalisation referendum
- IL: 4 of 10 Pro-EU Renew Europe member; supports decentralisation only if it adds no public spending
- L: 2 of 10 Advocates transnational European democracy and federal EU reforms (European Greens)
Technology
- PS: 6 of 10 Voted for PSD's 2026 bill setting 16 as the age for independent social media use
- CH: 4 of 10 Voted against PSD's 2026 under-16 social media bill; Ventura said it was 'killing freedom'
- AD: 6.5 of 10 PSD bill passed 2026 first reading: social media at 16, parental consent 13-16; CDS abstained
- IL: 2.5 of 10 Voted against PSD's 2026 under-16 social media bill, arguing such limits are easily evaded
- L: 5 of 10 Abstained on PSD's 2026 under-16 social media bill, with reservations about its text
Recent polls
| Date | Pollster | PS | CH | AD | IL |
|---|
| 25 Oct | ICS/ISCTE | 30 | 26 | 26 | 4 |
| 19 Oct | Pitagórica | 29.4 | 27.9 | 21.6 | 6.1 |
| 12 Oct | Intercampus | 24.4 | 24 | 21.7 | 8 |
| 12 Oct | Pitagórica | 28.6 | 27.9 | 22.8 | 7 |
| 10 Oct | Pitagórica | 28.3 | 27.9 | 22.9 | 6.8 |
| 7 Oct | Aximage | 28.9 | 30.7 | 21.7 | 5.6 |
| 3 Oct | Pitagórica | 27.5 | 27.3 | 23.9 | 6.7 |
| 26 Sept | Pitagórica | 27.7 | 27.4 | 24.8 | 6.3 |
| 18 Sept | Pitagórica | 27.9 | 27.3 | 25.1 | 6.5 |
| 15 Sept | Aximage | 29.1 | 28.6 | 21.9 | 6.3 |
| 14 Sept | Intercampus | 27.5 | 23.9 | 23.4 | 9.9 |
| 12 Sept | Pitagórica | 28.6 | 27.6 | 24.3 | 6.7 |
| 7 Sept | Aximage | 29.7 | 25.4 | 20.9 | 7.9 |
| 4 Sept | Pitagórica | 27.9 | 27.1 | 25.7 | 6.1 |