United States
Alaska Senate polls 2026
Senate election 3 Nov 2026, tomorrow.
Mary Peltola leads the polling average with 47.0%, 2.3 points ahead of Dan S. Sullivan.
Also polled: Governor election.
Average
Updated 1 minute ago
PeltolaMary Peltola
47.0
+1.8
SullivanDan S. Sullivan
44.7
+0.3
D.J. SullivanDan J. Sullivan
3.1
−0.6
HeikesGerald Heikes
2.4
−0.4
Trend
PeltolaSullivanD.J. SullivanHeikes
Stances
PeltolaSullivanD.J. SullivanHeikes
Immigration2 unplaced
ExpandRestrictRemigration
Economy2 unplaced
Free marketState-directed
Christian identity2 unplaced
Abortion2 unplaced
Broad accessProtect unborn life
Marriage & family2 unplaced
Individual choiceTraditional
National culture2 unplaced
CosmopolitanPreserve heritage
Technology2 unplaced
Light-touchRein in Big Tech
Scores and reasons written by AI. Methodology
Why these scores
Immigration
- Mary Peltola: 4 of 10 Voted for 2024 Republican bills deporting migrants who assault police; favours reforming, not abolishing, ICE
- Dan S. Sullivan: 7 of 10 Voted for Laken Riley Act and 2025 budget bill funding mass deportation and border wall
Economy
- Mary Peltola: 5 of 10 Opposes Medicaid cuts, backs ACA subsidies, antitrust and right-to-repair; supports Willow oil project
- Dan S. Sullivan: 2.5 of 10 Voted for 2025 One Big Beautiful Bill tax cuts; denies it cut Medicaid or SNAP
Christian identity
- Mary Peltola: 2 of 10 No religion-in-public-life agenda; standard secular Democratic record
- Dan S. Sullivan: 5.5 of 10 Catholic; justified his 2022 Respect for Marriage Act vote by its added religious-liberty protections
Abortion
- Mary Peltola: 1.5 of 10 Supports writing Roe v. Wade protections into federal law
- Dan S. Sullivan: 6.5 of 10 Says abortion should be illegal except for life, rape, incest; sought in-person mifepristone rule
Marriage & family
- Mary Peltola: 2 of 10 Voted for Respect for Marriage Act and against 2023 ban on transgender girls in girls' sports
- Dan S. Sullivan: 5 of 10 Voted for 2022 Respect for Marriage Act after earlier backing a same-sex marriage ban
National culture
- Mary Peltola: 3.5 of 10 Defends gun ownership and subsistence hunting as core to Alaska and Alaska Native life
- Dan S. Sullivan: 5.5 of 10 No heritage or language proposals; record centres on resource development, defence and Trump's border agenda
Subsidiarity
- Mary Peltola: 5.5 of 10 Called federal transgender sports bill 'federal overreach'; wants Alaska-specific fisheries management
- Dan S. Sullivan: 6 of 10 Fights federal limits on Alaska lands, e.g. Tongass logging and Ambler road access
Technology
- Mary Peltola: 5.5 of 10 Backs antitrust enforcement and right-to-repair; no record on platform or AI rules
- Dan S. Sullivan: 5 of 10 Voted with large majorities for Kids Online Safety Act (2024) and against AI-law moratorium (2025)
Recent polls
| Date | Pollster | Peltola | Sullivan | Sullivan | Heikes |
|---|
| 29 Oct | Alaska Survey Research | 48 | 46 | 3 | 3 |
| 16 Oct | Data for Progress (D) | 47 | 44 | 4 | 1 |
| 15 Oct | Public Policy Polling (D) | 48 | 47 | | |
| 15 Oct | Rasmussen Reports (R) | 44 | 42 | 3 | 4 |
| 10 Oct | InsiderAdvantage (R) | 48 | 43 | 2 | 2 |
| 3 Oct | Alaska Survey Research | 47 | 45 | 5 | 3 |
| 1 Oct | New York Times/Siena University | 50 | 43 | | |
| 30 Sept | Quantus Insights (R) | 46 | 46 | 2 | 1 |
| 24 Sept | Trafalgar Group (R) | 46 | 47 | 3 | 1 |
| 17 Sept | co/efficient (R) | 46 | 48 | 1 | 1 |
| 14 Sept | Rasmussen Reports (R) | 39 | 39 | 7 | 6 |
| 12 Sept | Alaska Survey Research | 48 | 44 | 4 | 4 |
| 11 Sept | Fabrizio Ward (R)/ Impact Research (D) | 46 | 41 | 4 | 3 |
| 23 Aug | Alaska Survey Research | 51 | 49 | | |